Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 10/22/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: AZ Family Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento (+3.5)

Mortgage Matchup Center is the location where the Phoenix Suns (36-46 last season) will go up against the Sacramento Kings (40-42 last year) on Wednesday. Phoenix opens this game as 3.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 227.5.

The Kings faced off with the Suns and notched a win by a score of 109-98 in their last contest. Sacramento ended the game with a 52.3% field goal percentage (46 out of 88) and converted 14 out of their 34 3-pointers. At the free throw line, the Kings knocked down 3 of their 3 shots for a rate of 100.0%. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 43 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 31 assists in this contest as well as creating 13 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In regard to defense, Sacramento allowed 47.6% from the floor on 40 out of 84 shooting. Phoenix recorded 28 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Phoenix had 37 rebounds (9 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Phoenix walked away from this one shooting 50.0% at the free throw line by making 3 of their 6 tries. They also made 15 of 44 attempts from beyond the arc. When talking about fouls, the Kings walked away with 7 and the Suns finished the game with 9 fouls.

Jonas Valanciunas is someone who was a major contributor in this matchup. Valanciunas walked away from this one shooting 90.9% from the floor and also totaled 4 assists. He played for 21 mins and pulled down 10 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 22 points on 10 of 11 shooting.

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Sacramento will play this contest after finishing with a mark of 40-42 last season. They had an average of 115.7 points per outing (10th in the league) while shooting 47.8% from the field. The Kings shot 35.7% on 3-pointers (1,032 of 2,887) and 80.6% from the free throw line. As a group, Sacramento collected 44.2 rebounds per game and racked up 2,169 assists last year, which was 13th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They turned it over 13.3 times per contest and as a group committed 18.9 fouls every game.

When they were on defense, the Kings were able to force their opponents into 13.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.5 fouls. They surrendered 38.1% on shots from distance and they were ranked 19th in basketball in PPG allowed (115.3). The Kings defensively gave up a field goal percentage of 47.4% (3,409 of 7,196) and they relinquished 42.3 boards per contest as a basketball team. They were ranked 17th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,212 surrendered last year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Suns walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 109-98 against the Kings. In reference to team rebounding, Phoenix permitted Sacramento to pull down 43 in total (10 on the offensive side). They finished 41.2% from downtown by going 14 of 34 and walked away from this one shooting 3 of 3 at the charity stripe (100.0%). The Suns permitted the Kings to convert 46 of 88 tries from the field which left them shooting 52.3% for the contest. Overall, the Suns walked away from this one shooting 40 for 84 from the floor which had them sitting at 47.6%. With respect to 3-pointers, Phoenix buried 15 out of their 44 attempts (34.1%). They were able to make 3 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 50.0%. The Kings had 7 personal fouls in this contest which got the Suns to the free throw line for 6 tries. They also turned it over 13 times, while recording 6 steals in this contest. The Suns were able to pull down 28 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 for the game.

Grayson Allen was important for the Suns for this game. He knocked down 8 of 13 for the game for a field goal percentage of 61.5%, and tallied 2 rebounds. Allen racked up 20 points in his 28 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 5 assists for the game.

Phoenix had a mark of 36-46 last season. The Suns were responsible for committing 17.9 fouls per game and they hit 81.0% from the charity stripe. They got an assist 27.8 times per contest (10th in the NBA) and they lost possession via turnover 14.1 times per contest. Phoenix totaled 9,317 points last season (113.6 per contest) and they pulled down 42.5 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Suns shot 47.8% from the field, which ranked them 11th in the league.

The Phoenix defense conceded 37.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (1,163 of 3,145) and their opponents knocked down 79.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquished 27.3 assists and 44.2 total rebounds per game, which was ranked 21st and 16th in those defensive categories. The Suns defensively were ranked 22nd in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 116.6. They were able to force 12.2 TO's per game and let teams shoot 47.3% from the field (21st in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Sacramento (+3.5)

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