San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 10/22/2025 Preview and Pick
Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks
Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2025
Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX
TV: ESPN
Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio (+2.5)
American Airlines Center is where the Dallas Mavericks (39-43 last season) will attempt to defeat the San Antonio Spurs (34-48 last year) on Wednesday. Dallas opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 224.5.

The Spurs took the court against the Raptors and went home with a win by a final score of 125-118 in their last game. San Antonio wrapped up the contest having earned a 51.2% FG percentage (43 of 84) and made 11 out of their 32 3-pointers. At the free throw line, the Spurs converted 28 of their 32 attempts for a percentage of 87.5%. In the matter of hauling in rebounds, they compiled 50 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 22 assists for the game while forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In regard to defense, San Antonio allowed 47.4% from the field on 46 of 97 shooting. Toronto dished out 32 assists and had 8 steals for this game. Moreover, Toronto grabbed 42 rebounds (12 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Toronto finished the contest at 75.0% at the charity stripe by converting 12 of 16 tries. They knocked down 14 of 39 attempts from beyond the arc. In the matter of personal fouls, the Spurs walked away with 13 and the Raptors totaled 23 personal fouls.
Keldon Johnson is one guy who was a major contributor for this contest. He ended up with 23 points on 10 out of 14 shooting. He saw the court for 27 mins and grabbed 9 boards. Johnson finished 71.4% from the field but had no assists when the game ended.
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San Antonio comes into this game after finishing with a mark of 34-48 last year. They lost possession via turnover 13.9 times per contest and as a team committed 16.6 fouls per game. As a group, San Antonio collected 43.7 boards per contest and had 2,348 dimes last season, which ranked 6th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Spurs shot 35.7% on shots from beyond the arc (1,158 of 3,246) and 77.4% from the free throw line. They had an average of 113.9 points per outing (16th in the league) while hitting 46.5% from the floor.
Defensively, the Spurs forced their opponents into 13.7 turnovers per game while drawing 17.4 fouls. They were 23rd in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,296 relinquished last season. The Spurs defense gave up an opponent FG percentage of 47.4% (3,595 of 7,587) and they relinquished 46.2 rebounds per contest as a squad. They gave up 36.5% on 3-point attempts and they were 23rd in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (116.7).
When they last stepped on the court, the Mavericks walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 132-97 when they faced the Grizzlies. The Mavericks were able to corral 28 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 in this contest. They also coughed up the ball 18 times, while recording 6 steals for this contest. The Grizzlies committed 15 fouls in this game which got the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 22 tries. They were able to knock down 16 of those for a percentage of 72.7%. In the matter of shots from beyond the perimeter, Dallas buried 5 out of their 28 attempts (17.9%). When this game wrapped up, the Mavericks shot 38 for 87 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.7%. The Mavericks permitted the Grizzlies to knock down 52 of 104 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0% for this contest. They shot 36.6% from distance by going 15 out of 41 and finished the contest at 13 of 15 at the free throw line (86.7%). When talking about rebounding, Dallas allowed Memphis to collect 53 in total (19 on the offensive side).
Daniel Gafford ended up having an impact for the Mavericks in the matchup. Gafford accumulated 20 points in his 19 minutes of playing time and earned 1 assist for the matchup. He made 8 of 10 in this matchup giving him a rate of 80.0%, and tallied 7 rebounds.
Dallas had a record of 39-43 last year. The Mavericks were responsible for committing 17.8 fouls per contest and they went 77.0% from the charity stripe. They assisted teammates 25.2 times per game (22nd in the NBA) and they turned it over 14.0 times per contest. Dallas accumulated 9,364 pts last season (114.2 per game) and they averaged 43.0 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Mavericks hit 47.9% from the floor, which ranked 10th in the NBA.
The Mavericks defensively were ranked 20th in the league in points per game surrendered with 115.4. They were able to force 13.2 TO's per game and let teams shoot 46.9% from the floor (18th in the NBA). The Dallas defense allowed 36.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,054 of 2,905) and opponents made 77.9% of their free throw shots. They conceded 27.1 dimes and 45.3 boards per contest, which was ranked 20th and 25th in those categories on the defensive end.
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dallas (-2.5)
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Additional Resources:
Dallas Mavericks - Twitter
San Antonio Spurs - Twitter