San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 12/25/2025 Preview and Pick
Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK
TV: ABC
Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio (+9.5)
Paycom Center is the site where the Oklahoma City Thunder (26-4) will take on the San Antonio Spurs (22-7) on Thursday. San Antonio opens as 9.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 235.

The Spurs faced the Thunder and walked away with a win by a score of 130-110 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Spurs finished with 13 and the Thunder had 17 fouls. They made 12 out of their 30 attempts from 3-point range. Oklahoma City ended up shooting 85.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 6 of 7 tries. Additionally, Oklahoma City snagged 36 rebounds (9 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 3 blocked shots. Oklahoma City earned 23 assists and had 5 steals for the contest. In relation to the defense, San Antonio allowed the other team to shoot 54.1% from the field on 46 of 85 shooting. They also doled out 34 assists in this game while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 10 steals. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they earned 34 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Spurs converted 18 of 24 tries for a rate of 75.0%. San Antonio ended the contest with a 57.1% FG percentage (48 of 84) and made 16 out of their 36 shots from downtown.
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Keldon Johnson is one guy who was important for this contest. He left the arena with 25 points on 10 out of 16 shooting. He played 22 minutes played and also grabbed 1 board. Johnson finished 62.5% from the field and distributed 1 assist.
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San Antonio will enter this game with a mark of 22-7 on the year. They are turning it over 14.4 times per game and as a unit they are committing 19.8 fouls every game. As a team, San Antonio is pulling down 45.9 boards per contest and has 763 dimes this season, which is 19th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Spurs are hitting 36.7% on 3-point shots (396 of 1,080) and 79.0% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 120.4 pts per game (4th in basketball) while going 48.6% from the field.
On the defensive end, the Spurs are forcing 14.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.7 fouls. They are ranked 15th in the league in giving up assists with 772 conceded on the season. The Spurs defense is allowing a FG percentage of 46.6% (1,210 of 2,595) and they concede 41.6 boards per game as a group. They concede 36.2% on 3-pointers and they are 9th in the league in opponents PPG (113.6).
When they last played, the Thunder went home defeated by a final of 130-110 when they faced the Spurs. In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Oklahoma City permitted San Antonio to pull down 34 in all (10 on the offensive glass). They finished 44.4% from beyond the perimeter by going 16 of 36 and ended up shooting 18 out of 24 from the free throw line (75.0%). The Thunder allowed the Spurs to convert 48 of 84 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 57.1% in this game. When this game wrapped up, the Thunder shot 46 for 85 from the floor which had them at 54.1%. In the matter of shots from distance, Oklahoma City converted 12 out of 30 attempts (40.0%). They were able to bury 6 of the free throws for a percentage of 85.7%. The Spurs were called for 13 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Thunder to the free throw line for 7 tries. They turned it over 15 times, while getting 5 steals in the game. The Thunder pulled down 27 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 in the matchup.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up having an impact for the Thunder for the game. Gilgeous-Alexander earned 33 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and had 8 assists in the game. He converted 14 of 22 for the matchup for a rate of 63.6%, and had 3 rebounds.
Oklahoma City has a record of 26-4 so far this year. In terms of offensive execution, the Thunder are shooting 49.3% from the floor, which ranks 3rd in the league. Oklahoma City has tallied 3,658 pts on the year (121.9 per game) and they snag 44.6 boards per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.9 times per contest (17th in the league) and they turn it over 12.7 times per game. The Thunder commit 21.0 fouls every game while shooting 83.8% from the free throw line.
The Thunder are ranked 1st in basketball in points per game surrendered with 107.0. They are able to force 18.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.0% from the field (1st in the NBA). The Oklahoma City defense concedes 36.9% on shots from distance (426 of 1,156) and their opposition makes 75.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 24.1 assists and 43.8 total boards per game, which has them ranked 2nd and 14th in the league.
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-9.5)
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Additional Resources:
Oklahoma City Thunder - Twitter
San Antonio Spurs - Twitter

