Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction, 12/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Toronto Raptors (17-12) are headed to Kaseya Center on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Heat (15-13).

The Raptors faced off with the Celtics and took a loss by a final of 112-96 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Raptors ended up walking away with 22 while the Celtics totaled 13 personal fouls. They also converted 12 of 39 shots from 3-point land. Boston finished 80.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 12 of their 15 shots. In addition, Boston collected 55 rebounds (17 offensive, 38 defensive) and earned 7 blocks. Boston recorded 27 dimes and had 11 steals in this game. In reference to defense, Toronto allowed the other team to go 46.3% from the floor on 44 of 95 shooting. They also distributed 24 dimes for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 37 with 9 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Raptors made 8 of their 11 tries for a rate of 72.7%. Toronto ended the contest having earned a 41.4% field goal percentage (36 out of 87) and made 16 of their 47 three-point shots.

Brandon Ingram is one guy who was a factor in this matchup. He ended up walking away with 24 points on 10 out of 17 shooting. He saw the court for 35 minutes and also collected 4 boards. Ingram finished the game shooting 58.8% from the field and also totaled 7 assists.

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Toronto comes into this game with a record of 17-12 for the year. They turn the ball over 14.8 times per game and as a team they are committing 21.7 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Toronto is pulling down 42.3 boards per game and has 859 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 2nd in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Raptors are shooting 36.2% from downtown (345 of 952) and 76.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 114.6 points per outing (20th in basketball) while going 48.2% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Raptors have forced 15.9 turnovers per game while drawing 19.7 fouls. They rank 9th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 718 surrendered for the campaign. The Raptors are allowing a shooting percentage of 46.4% (1,160 of 2,501) and they relinquish 43.6 boards per game as a team. They are surrendering 33.7% on shots from distance while they are 7th in the league in PPG allowed (112.9).

The last time they took the court, the Heat took a loss by a score of 129-116 when they faced the Celtics. In relation to rebounding, Miami allowed Boston to pull down 46 in total (6 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 48.8% from downtown by going 21 of 43 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 24 from the free throw line (83.3%). The Heat allowed the Celtics to convert 44 out of their 82 attempts from the field which had them shooting 53.7% for the game. When the game finished, the Heat shot 40 for 102 from the field which gave them a rate of 39.2%. When it comes to 3-point attempts, Miami knocked down 19 of their 49 tries (38.8%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throws for a clip of 70.8%. The Celtics were called for 30 fouls in the matchup which got the Heat to the free throw line for 24 tries. They turned the ball over 13 times, while getting 8 steals for this contest. The Heat were able to corral 30 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive boards for a total of 47 for the game.

Kel'el Ware ended up being a factor for the Heat for the matchup. He converted 8 out of 12 for this contest for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and totaled 14 rebounds. Ware earned 24 points in his 28 mins on the court and accounted for 2 assists in this matchup.

Miami has a mark of 15-13 on the season. As an offensive team, the Heat are shooting 47.3% from the floor, which is 13th in the NBA. Miami has scored 3,361 pts so far this season (120.0 per game) and they pull in 45.6 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 28.8 times per game (7th in the league) and they are turning it over 14.2 times per game. The Heat commit 19.3 personal fouls per game and they hit 78.2% from the free throw line.

The Heat defensively are ranked 20th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 117.3. They have forced 15.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 44.8% from the floor (4th in the league). The Miami defense gives up 33.8% on shots from beyond the arc (394 of 1,166) and their opponents are knocking down 79.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 27.0 dimes and 48.4 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 18th and 29th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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