Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/18/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

American Airlines Center is the location where the Dallas Mavericks (23-46) will compete against the Atlanta Hawks (37-31) on Wednesday.

The Hawks faced off with the Magic and took home the win by a score of 124-112 in their last contest. Atlanta finished the game having earned a 46.2% FG percentage (43 out of 93) and converted 16 out of their 40 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Hawks converted 22 of their 29 shots for a percentage of 75.9%. In regard to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 54 with 15 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 33 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing 11 turnovers and getting 5 steals. When talking about the defense, Atlanta let their opponent shoot 42.1% from the floor on 40 out of 95 shooting. Orlando dished out 20 assists and had 9 steals in this contest. Additionally, Orlando snagged 40 rebounds (8 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Orlando finished the contest at 78.3% from the charity stripe by knocking down 18 of 23 tries. They also buried 14 of their 43 tries from 3-point land. When it comes to personal fouls, the Hawks walked away with 20 while the Magic recorded 19 personal fouls.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is a guy who was a major contributor in this matchup. Alexander went 57.1% from the floor and recorded 5 assists. He played 37 mins played and pulled down 7 rebounds. He recorded 41 points on 12 of 21 shooting.

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Atlanta comes into this one with a win-loss record of 37-31 on the season. They are averaging 117.8 pts per game (7th in the league) while connecting on 47.2% from the floor. The Hawks are shooting 36.8% on 3-point shots (980 of 2,660) and 77.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Atlanta is pulling in 43.5 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 2,065 dimes this year, which is 1st in basketball in terms of passing. They are turning it over 14.2 times per game and as a team are committing 19.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Hawks are forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They currently rank 14th in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,816 surrendered on the campaign. The Hawks defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.3% (2,889 of 6,111) and they concede 45.9 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are conceding 35.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 19th in the NBA in points per game allowed (116.6).

For their last game, the Mavericks took a defeat with a final score of 129-111 when they played the Pelicans. In relation to cleaning up the glass, Dallas permitted New Orleans to collect 57 in all (12 offensive). They finished 31.4% from 3-point land by hitting 11 out of 35 and walked away from this one shooting 22 of 34 from the free throw line (64.7%). The Mavericks permitted the Pelicans to knock down 48 out of their 95 tries from the floor which had them at 50.5% for this contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Mavericks walked away from this one shooting 44 for 104 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.3%. In terms of shooting from distance, Dallas knocked down 14 out of 39 attempts (35.9%). They were able to make 9 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 64.3%. The Pelicans had 16 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 14 shots. They also turned it over 12 times, while earning 10 steals for the matchup. The Mavericks collected 38 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards totaling 51 for this game.

Naji Marshall was important for the Mavericks for the matchup. Marshall recorded 32 points in his 33 mins on the court and had 7 assists for this contest. He made 12 out of 24 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 8 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 23-46 so far this season. The Mavericks commit 18.2 fouls every game and they connect on 74.6% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 25.1 times per contest (24th in the league) and they cough up possession 14.8 times per game. Dallas has scored 7,808 pts so far this year (113.2 per contest) and they grab 44.9 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Mavericks are hitting on 46.8% from the field, which is 15th in the league.

The Dallas defense concedes 34.2% on shots from distance (864 of 2,524) and their opposition knocks down 76.7% of their free throw shots. They allow 28.0 dimes and 46.6 boards every game, which ranks them 27th and 27th in the league. The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 23rd in the NBA in points given up per game with 118.2. They are forcing 13.2 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 47.3% from the field (17th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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