Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 1/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

The Atlanta Hawks (18-21) are traveling to Chase Center on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Golden State Warriors (20-18).

The Hawks played the Pelicans and earned the victory with a final of 117-100 in their last contest. In regard to fouls, the Hawks ended up finishing with 19 while the Pelicans finished the game with 15 fouls. They also buried 8 of 28 shots from 3-point range. New Orleans finished 64.0% at the free throw line by converting 16 of their 25 shots. On top of that, New Orleans totaled 40 boards (6 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 10 blocks. New Orleans dished out 26 assists and had 13 steals in this matchup. Pertaining to the defense, Atlanta allowed 44.2% from the floor on 38 of 86 shooting. They also recorded 30 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 19 turnovers and earning 13 steals. Pertaining to rebounding, they earned 49 with 11 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Hawks made 11 of 17 shots for a rate of 64.7%. Atlanta ended the contest having earned a 46.3% FG percentage (44 out of 95) and knocked down 18 out of their 47 3-point attempts.

Zaccharie Risacher is a player who came through for the matchup. He ended up with 25 points on 8 of 13 shooting. He played for 34 mins and pulled down 8 rebounds. Risacher ended up shooting 61.5% from the floor but had no assists when the time ran out.

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Atlanta comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 18-21 for the campaign. They average 118.4 pts per contest (11th in the league) on 47.9% from the floor. The Hawks are connecting on 37.3% on 3-point shots (564 of 1,511) and 77.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Atlanta is collecting 41.9 boards per contest and has racked up 1,215 dimes on the season, which ranks 1st in the league in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 15.3 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 20.2 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end of the court, the Hawks are forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.9 fouls. They are currently ranked 28th in the NBA in giving up assists with 1,085 relinquished so far this year. The Hawks defense is allowing a FG percentage of 47.7% (1,688 of 3,541) and they relinquish 46.1 rebounds per game as a group. They are conceding 35.4% on 3-pointers and they are 24th in the league in opponents PPG (119.4).

The last time they took the court, the Warriors got the win with a final of 120-113 when they faced the Bucks. The Warriors were able to corral 33 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 41 for the contest. They also turned it over 10 times, while getting 6 steals for the contest. The Bucks earned 15 fouls in this contest which took the Warriors to the free throw line for 18 tries. They were able to bury 14 of them for a percentage of 77.8%. Regarding 3-point shots, Golden State buried 18 out of 47 tries (38.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Warriors went 44 out of 89 from the floor which had them shooting 49.4%. The Warriors permitted the Bucks to bury 46 out of 85 attempts from the field which had them shooting 54.1% for the contest. They went 43.8% from beyond the arc by going 14 out of 32 and finished the game at 7 of 12 from the free throw line (58.3%). In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Golden State allowed Milwaukee to grab 36 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Stephen Curry ended up having an impact for the Warriors for this game. Curry accumulated 31 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and had 7 dimes in this game. He converted 12 out of 21 in this matchup giving him a rate of 57.1%, and added 6 rebounds.

Golden State has a record of 20-18 so far this season. The Warriors have committed 20.4 personal fouls every game while shooting 81.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 28.1 times per contest (8th in the league) and they cough up possession 15.8 times per game. Golden State has 4,369 points so far this season (115.0 per contest) and they collect 43.5 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Warriors are hitting on 45.4% from the floor, which has them ranked 27th in the league.

The Golden State defense concedes 34.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (465 of 1,334) and their opponents are making 79.9% of their free throw attempts. They concede 26.2 dimes and 44.6 boards every game, which has them ranked 12th and 17th in basketball. The Warriors are ranked 8th in basketball in PPG given up with 113.6. They are able to force 15.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.1% from the floor (16th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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