Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 2/3/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (26-24) will compete against the Atlanta Hawks (24-27) on Tuesday.

The Hawks stepped onto the hardwood against the Pacers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 129-124 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Hawks ended up with 18 while the Pacers finished the game with 21 fouls. They converted 15 of 32 shots from three-point range. Indiana finished the game at 85.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 18 of 21 tries. Furthermore, Indiana pulled down 51 rebounds (11 offensive, 40 defensive) and got 2 rejections. Indiana dished out 29 assists and had 6 steals in this game. Regarding defense, Atlanta allowed their opponent to shoot 53.9% from the field on 48 of 89 shooting. They also recorded 25 assists in this contest while forcing the opposition into 23 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In the matter of getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 39 with 10 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Hawks buried 21 of their 28 shots for a percentage of 75.0%. Atlanta finished the game having earned a 47.4% FG percentage (46 of 97) and converted 11 of their 28 shots from distance.

Jalen Johnson is someone who was a factor in this contest. Johnson finished the game shooting 41.4% from the floor and also recorded 10 assists. He played 36 mins played and pulled down 12 boards. He had 33 points on 12 of 29 shooting.

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Atlanta will enter this game with a mark of 24-27 this year. They turn it over 14.5 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Atlanta is pulling down 42.2 boards per game and has 1,564 assists so far this season, which ranks 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Hawks are shooting 37.2% on three-point attempts (741 of 1,994) and 77.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 117.2 points per contest (9th in the league) while hitting 47.3% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Hawks are forcing their opponents into 16.0 turnovers per game and they draw 18.2 fouls. They give up 35.6% on shots from downtown and they are 23rd in the NBA in points per game allowed (118.3). The Hawks defense is allowing a FG percentage of 47.7% (2,193 of 4,602) and they surrender 46.7 boards per contest as a unit. They are 28th in the league in giving up assists with 1,399 relinquished so far this year.

The last time they took the court, the Heat went home defeated by a final of 125-118 against the Bulls. Regarding attacking the glass, Miami allowed Chicago to grab 43 in total (1 on the offensive glass). They finished 50.0% from 3-point land by shooting 20 out of 40 and walked away from this one shooting 13 of 18 at the charity stripe (72.2%). The Heat permitted the Bulls to bury 46 out of 88 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.3% for this contest. Overall, the Heat walked away from this one shooting 41 out of 95 from the field which had them at 43.2%. In relation to shots from 3-point land, Miami knocked down 13 of 47 attempts (27.7%). They were able to bury 23 of the free throw tries for a rate of 74.2%. The Bulls had 21 fouls for the game which got the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 31 shots. They turned it over 19 times, while recording 17 steals in this contest. The Heat collected 38 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 47 for this contest.

Pelle Larsson was important for the Heat in this game. Larsson tallied 22 points in his 33 minutes of playing time and accumulated 4 dimes for the contest. He made 7 out of 11 in this game for a rate of 63.6%, and totaled 7 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 26-24 for the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Heat are shooting 46.3% from the floor, which is 21st in basketball. Miami has accounted for 5,986 pts this season (119.7 per game) and they grab 46.3 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 28.5 times per game (7th in the league) and they cough up possession 14.4 times per game. The Heat have committed 18.9 personal fouls every game and they hit 79.0% from the free throw line.

The Miami defense gives up 35.2% on 3-point shots (700 of 1,987) and their opponents are converting on 80.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 27.3 assists and 47.3 boards per contest, which is ranked 21st and 29th in the NBA. The Heat defensively are ranked 24th in the league in points given up per game with 118.4. They are forcing 15.9 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the floor (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta

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