Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks Prediction, 4/28/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks

Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+6.5)

The New York Knicks (53-29) will take on the Atlanta Hawks (46-36) at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday in Game 5 of their series. The series is tied 2-2. New York opens this game as 6.5-point favorites. The total is set at 213.

The Hawks took a loss by a score of 114-98 in Game 4. Concerning fouls, the Hawks ended up walking away with 21 while the Knicks recorded 23 fouls. They also knocked down 14 out of their 31 attempts from 3-point range. New York ended up going 78.3% from the free throw line by converting 18 of their 23 tries. In addition, New York totaled 43 rebounds (12 offensive, 31 defensive) and had 5 rejections. New York totaled 23 assists and had 9 steals in this game. With regard to the defense, Atlanta allowed their opponent to shoot 49.4% from the field on 41 of 83 shooting. They also doled out 20 assists in the matchup while creating 15 turnovers and getting 8 steals. In relation to getting rebounds, they earned 38 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Hawks buried 20 of their 25 tries for a percentage of 80.0%. Atlanta finished the game with a 41.0% FG percentage (34 out of 83) and made 10 of their 41 shots from beyond the perimeter.

CJ McCollum is one player who was a contributor for the matchup. He notched 17 points on 8 of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 32 minutes and grabbed 1 rebound. McCollum finished the game shooting 53.3% from the floor and also dished out 3 assists.

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Atlanta steps onto the court with a record of 46-36 so far this season. They average 118.5 pts per game (6th in the NBA) while shooting 47.4% from the floor. The Hawks are connecting on 37.1% on 3-pointers (1,201 of 3,237) and 77.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Atlanta is pulling down 43.5 boards per game and has racked up 2,471 dimes for the campaign, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing. They are turning it over 14.2 times per game and as a squad are committing 19.7 personal fouls every game.

Defensively, the Hawks are able to force 16.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.5 personal fouls. They rank 15th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,185 surrendered on the campaign. The Hawks defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 47.4% (3,473 of 7,334) and they surrender 45.2 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 35.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 18th in basketball in points per game allowed (116.0).

The Knicks played really well on both ends of the court in Game 4. The Knicks earned 31 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 43 in this contest. They also gave up possession 15 times, while getting 9 steals in this game. The Hawks earned 21 personal fouls for this game which took the Knicks to the charity stripe for 23 attempts. They were able to bury 18 of the free throws for a rate of 78.3%. In regard to shots from downtown, New York buried 14 of 31 attempts (45.2%). When all was said and done, the Knicks shot 41 for 83 from the field which had them shooting 49.4%. The Knicks permitted the Hawks to make 34 out of 83 tries from the field which left them shooting 41.0% for the contest. They finished 24.4% from three-point range by shooting 10 of 41 and finished the game at 20 out of 25 from the free throw line (80.0%). In reference to cleaning up the glass, New York permitted Atlanta to grab 38 in total (12 on the offensive side).

OG Anunoby was important for the Knicks in this matchup. Anunoby totaled 22 points in his 40 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 1 assist in the game. He converted 9 of 16 for the contest for a field goal rate of 56.3%, and had 10 rebounds.

New York has a record of 53-29 this season. The Knicks commit 20.0 fouls per contest and they shoot 79.2% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 27.4 times per contest (13th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 13.6 times per contest. New York has scored 9,549 pts for the campaign (116.5 per game) and they snag 45.6 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Knicks are hitting on 47.8% from the field, which is 11th in the league.

The Knicks on the defensive end are ranked 5th in basketball in PPG allowed with 110.1. They are forcing their opponents into 14.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the floor (5th in the league). The New York defense allows 36.2% on three-point shots (1,138 of 3,145) and opponents are connecting on 77.8% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 25.0 dimes and 40.5 boards every game, which ranks them 6th and 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-6.5)

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