Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 10/21/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic

Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Location: Kia Center in Orlando, FL

TV: MagicTV 27

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+2.5)

The Atlanta Hawks (46-36 last season) are on their way to Kia Center on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Orlando Magic (45-37 last year). Atlanta opens this contest as 2.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 233.5.

The Hawks played the Knicks and took a loss by a final of 140-89 in their last contest. Atlanta ended having earned a 37.8% FG percentage (31 out of 82) and converted 9 out of their 35 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Hawks knocked down 18 of their 23 attempts for a rate of 78.3%. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they earned 35 with 11 of them being offensive. They also doled out 22 assists for this game as well as forcing 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. In reference to defending, Atlanta allowed the other team to shoot 58.8% from the field on 50 out of 85 shooting. New York dished out 33 dimes and had 16 steals for the matchup. Additionally, New York pulled down 46 boards (9 offensive, 37 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. New York walked away from this one shooting 79.4% from the free throw line by converting 27 of their 34 attempts. They also buried 13 of their 36 attempts from distance. When talking about personal fouls, the Hawks ended up with 22 while the Knicks finished the game with 22 personal fouls.

Jalen Johnson is a player who was a factor in this game. Johnson finished the game shooting 46.7% from the floor and recorded 6 dimes. He played 32 minutes and snagged 8 boards. He totaled 21 points on 7 out of 15 shooting.

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Atlanta heads into this contest after finishing with a mark of 46-36 last season. They turned it over 14.2 times per game and as a basketball team committed 19.7 personal fouls every game. As a group, Atlanta grabbed 43.5 boards per game and totaled 2,471 assists last year, which ranked 1st in the NBA in terms of passing. The Hawks hit on 37.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,201 of 3,237) and 77.4% from the charity stripe. They had an average of 118.5 points per contest (6th in the league) while hitting 47.4% from the field.

When they were on the defensive end, the Hawks were able to force 16.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.5 fouls. They were 15th in basketball in giving up assists with 2,185 surrendered last season. The Hawks defense gave up a FG percentage of 47.4% (3,473 of 7,334) and they conceded 45.2 boards per game as a group. They surrendered 35.5% on three-point shots and they ranked 18th in basketball in opponents PPG (116.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Magic took a defeat by a final score of 116-94 when they faced the Pistons. The Magic pulled down 24 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 33 for this game. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while getting 11 steals for this contest. The Pistons earned 21 personal fouls for this contest which took the Magic to the free throw line for a total of 30 shots. They were able to bury 22 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 73.3%. With regard to three-point attempts, Orlando buried 10 of 30 attempts (33.3%). Overall, the Magic walked away from this one shooting 31 for 75 from the field which had them at 41.3%. The Magic allowed the Pistons to make 41 of 80 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 51.3% in the game. They finished shooting 48.5% from 3-point land by going 16 of 33 and ended up shooting 18 of 22 from the free throw line (81.8%). In regard to rebounds, Orlando permitted Detroit to get 41 overall (11 on the offensive glass).

Paolo Banchero ended up being important for the Magic for the game. Banchero earned 38 points in his 42 mins on the hardwood and tallied 6 dimes for this contest. He converted 14 out of 25 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 56.0%, and had 9 rebounds.

Orlando had a win-loss mark of 45-37 last season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Magic shot 46.4% from the field, which was ranked 21st in the league. Orlando accumulated 9,491 pts last season (115.7 per contest) and they pulled in 43.4 boards per game. They dished out assists 26.5 times per contest (14th in the NBA) and they lost possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per contest. The Magic were responsible for committing 21.0 personal fouls per game and they went 80.1% from the free throw line.

The Orlando defense conceded 35.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (993 of 2,813) and opponents knocked down 78.1% of their free throw shots. They conceded 25.3 assists and 43.3 boards on a nightly basis, which was ranked 8th and 13th in those categories. The Magic on the defensive side of the court were 13th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 115.1. They forced their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and allowed teams to shoot 47.6% from the field (19th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+2.5)

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