Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 1/3/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors

Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN

The Atlanta Hawks (16-19) are traveling to Scotiabank Arena on Saturday where they will take on the Toronto Raptors (20-15).

The Hawks played the Timberwolves and took home the win by a score of 126-102 in their last contest. With respect to fouls, the Hawks finished with 15 and the Timberwolves totaled 16 fouls. They also converted 14 out of their 40 tries from distance. Minnesota finished shooting 77.8% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of 18 attempts. Additionally, Minnesota pulled down 46 rebounds (11 offensive, 35 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Minnesota earned 22 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. In regard to defending, Atlanta allowed the other team to shoot 42.5% from the field on 37 of 87 shooting. They also dished out 38 assists for the game in addition to creating 16 turnovers and getting 9 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 49 with 16 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Hawks made 8 of their 16 attempts for a percentage of 50.0%. Atlanta ended with a 49.0% field goal percentage (51 of 104) and buried 16 of their 42 3-pointers.

Jalen Johnson is one player who played a role in this contest. Johnson went 68.2% from the floor and also earned 6 assists. He was on the hardwood for 32 mins played and also snagged 10 rebounds. He was able to score 34 points on 15 of 22 shooting.

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Atlanta enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 16-19 this season. They are losing possession via turnover 15.2 times per contest and as a group they commit 20.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Atlanta is pulling in 41.6 rebounds per game and is sitting with 1,094 assists so far this season, which ranks 1st in the NBA in terms of passing. The Hawks are shooting 37.3% on three-point attempts (505 of 1,355) and 78.2% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 119.3 points per game (9th in the league) while connecting on 48.3% from the field.

Defensively, the Hawks are able to force 16.0 turnovers per game while drawing 19.1 fouls. They are 28th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 970 conceded this season. The Hawks defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.8% (1,518 of 3,176) and they surrender 46.0 rebounds per contest as a squad. They surrender 36.0% on shots from distance while they are 24th in the league in PPG allowed (120.1).

In their last game, the Raptors took a loss by a score of 106-103 against the Nuggets. In reference to rebounds, Toronto allowed Denver to pull down 47 overall (9 on the offensive side). They shot 29.4% from downtown by shooting 10 out of 34 and ended up shooting 28 of 34 at the free throw line (82.4%). The Raptors permitted the Nuggets to bury 34 out of 80 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.5% in this matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Raptors ended up shooting 37 for 100 from the field which had them shooting 37.0%. In reference to shots from downtown, Toronto converted 12 of 45 tries (26.7%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 81.0%. The Nuggets were called for 18 fouls for the game which took the Raptors to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They coughed up the ball 8 times, while getting 6 steals for the game. The Raptors corralled 33 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive boards for a total of 50 for the matchup.

Brandon Ingram ended up having an impact for the Raptors for the contest. He buried 11 of 21 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 52.4%, and had 8 rebounds. Ingram tallied 30 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the matchup.

Toronto has a win-loss mark of 20-15 this season. The Raptors commit 21.6 fouls per contest and they go 77.4% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 29.3 times per game (5th in basketball) and they cough up possession 14.3 times per game. Toronto has accounted for 3,984 points so far this season (113.8 per game) and they average 43.2 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Raptors are hitting on 47.2% from the field, which is ranked 15th in the NBA.

The Raptors on defense are ranked 4th in basketball in PPG given up with 112.5. They are forcing 15.9 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.3% from the floor (7th in the NBA). The Toronto defense allows 33.8% from downtown (438 of 1,294) and opponents are knocking down 80.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 24.5 assists and 44.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 4th and 16th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta

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