Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 2/3/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: NBC

The Boston Celtics (30-18) are headed to American Airlines Center on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Dallas Mavericks (19-30).

The Celtics faced the Kings and took home the win by a score of 112-93 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Celtics ended up finishing with 17 while the Kings recorded 18 fouls. They converted 10 of their 31 shots from 3-point range. Sacramento walked away from this one shooting 91.3% at the charity stripe by converting 21 of their 23 tries. On top of that, Sacramento had 47 boards (15 offensive, 32 defensive) and had 5 blocked shots. Sacramento distributed 19 dimes and had 4 steals in this game. In reference to the defense, Boston allowed the other team to shoot 37.3% from the floor on 31 of 83 shooting. They also doled out 25 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and having 7 steals. In the matter of rebounding, they earned a total of 44 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Celtics converted 10 of their 16 attempts for a rate of 62.5%. Boston wrapped up the contest with a 45.2% FG percentage (42 of 93) and made 18 of their 48 shots from 3-point land.

Payton Pritchard is a player who was a factor for the matchup. Pritchard ended up going 75.0% from the field and totaled 8 assists. He was on the court for 33 mins played and also grabbed 2 boards. He recorded 29 points on 12 of 16 shooting.

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Boston steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 30-18 so far this season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.0 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 20.2 fouls per game. As a team, Boston is snagging 44.9 rebounds per contest and has tallied 1,148 assists for the campaign, which is 29th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Celtics are connecting on 36.8% on 3-pointers (749 of 2,038) and 79.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 116.3 points per contest (15th in the league) while hitting 46.9% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Celtics are able to force 13.6 turnovers every game while drawing 18.8 personal fouls. They are ranked 7th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,227 relinquished on the year. The Celtics defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 44.6% (1,859 of 4,167) and they concede 42.3 boards per game as a squad. They are surrendering 36.3% on 3-point shots while they are 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (109.7).

When they last played, the Mavericks went home defeated by a final of 111-107 against the Rockets. The Mavericks recorded 37 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 48 in this matchup. They also turned it over 11 times, while recording 3 steals for this contest. The Rockets had 20 fouls in this matchup which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 26 tries. They were able to bury 15 of the free throws for a percentage of 57.7%. In the matter of shooting from beyond the arc, Dallas knocked down 10 out of their 23 tries (43.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks ended up going 41 out of 92 from the field which had them at 44.6%. The Mavericks allowed the Rockets to make 45 of 108 attempts from the field which had them shooting 41.7% for this game. They shot 38.5% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 10 of 26 and ended up going 11 of 15 at the free throw line (73.3%). When talking about rebounding, Dallas permitted Houston to get 53 overall (18 on the offensive glass).

Cooper Flagg ended up being important for the Mavericks for the contest. He knocked down 13 of 25 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 52.0%, and accounted for 12 rebounds. Flagg scored 34 points in his 39 mins on the court and earned 5 dimes in this matchup.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 19-30 on the campaign. In terms of offensive execution, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.2% from the floor, which has them ranked 14th in the league. Dallas has accounted for 5,590 pts on the season (114.1 per game) and they collect 45.1 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 25.2 times per contest (21st in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 15.1 times per game. The Mavericks commit 18.8 personal fouls every game and they hit 74.5% from the charity stripe.

The Mavericks are ranked 20th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 116.6. They are able to force 13.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.1% from the floor (7th in the NBA). The Dallas defense gives up 33.6% on shots from beyond the arc (585 of 1,743) and opponents are converting on 77.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 26.8 assists and 46.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 15th and 28th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

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