Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 11/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: KSBI

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (+2.5)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2) welcome the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-3) at Paycom Center on Wednesday. Cleveland opens this matchup as 2.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 227.5.

The Cavaliers faced off with the Thunder and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 117-112 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Cavaliers ended up finishing with 19 and the Thunder accumulated 19 personal fouls. They made 12 of their 31 tries from beyond the arc. Oklahoma City finished 91.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 21 of their 23 tries. Moreover, Oklahoma City had 54 rebounds (15 offensive, 39 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Oklahoma City dished out 18 dimes and had 5 steals in the matchup. In terms of defending, Cleveland allowed 42.9% from the field on 42 out of 98 shooting. They also dished out 31 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and getting 7 steals. With regard to grabbing boards, they earned 46 with 11 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Cavaliers knocked down 14 of their 24 shots for a percentage of 58.3%. Cleveland wrapped up the contest having earned a 44.4% FG percentage (40 of 90) and converted 18 of their 49 3-point shots.

Donovan Mitchell is someone who came through in this matchup. He had 17 points on 6 out of 17 shooting. He played 36 minutes and totaled 5 rebounds. Mitchell finished the game shooting 35.3% from the floor and distributed 11 dimes.

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Cleveland heads into this contest with a win-loss mark of 4-3 so far this year. They turn it over 14.0 times per contest and as a squad are committing 20.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Cleveland is grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 203 dimes for the season, which ranks 8th in basketball in terms of passing. The Cavaliers are hitting 36.9% on shots from downtown (106 of 287) and 74.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 119.7 points per contest (5th in the league) while going 46.9% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Cavaliers have forced 13.7 turnovers every game and they draw 21.1 fouls. They currently rank 16th in the league in giving up assists with 188 conceded on the year. The Cavaliers defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 44.8% (299 of 668) and they relinquish 46.4 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are surrendering 34.3% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 23rd in basketball in points per game allowed (116.1).

The last time they took the court, the Thunder got the win with a final of 117-112 when they faced the Cavaliers. In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Oklahoma City allowed Cleveland to pull down 46 in all (11 offensive). They finished 36.7% from 3-point land by hitting 18 out of 49 and ended up going 14 out of 24 at the free throw line (58.3%). The Thunder permitted the Cavaliers to convert 40 out of 90 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 44.4% for the matchup. In all, the Thunder finished 42 out of 98 from the field which had them shooting 42.9%. With regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Oklahoma City buried 12 of their 31 attempts (38.7%). They were able to make 21 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 91.3%. The Cavaliers committed 19 personal fouls for the game which got the Thunder to the charity stripe for a total of 23 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 5 steals in the matchup. The Thunder were able to collect 39 defensive boards and 15 offensive rebounds totaling 54 for this contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was important for the Thunder for the game. Gilgeous-Alexander racked up 43 points in his 39 minutes on the court and had 8 dimes in the matchup. He converted 14 of 35 for the game for a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and accounted for 3 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a record of 5-2 on the campaign. The Thunder are responsible for committing 19.7 fouls per game and they go 87.9% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 21.1 times per game (30th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 13.7 times per contest. Oklahoma City has earned 756 points for the year (108.0 per game) and they pull in 46.6 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Thunder are connecting on 43.8% from the floor, which is ranked 24th in the league.

The Oklahoma City defense surrenders 35.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (103 of 290) and opponents are knocking down 74.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 26.7 assists and 44.7 rebounds every game, which is ranked 16th and 17th in basketball. The Thunder on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the league in points allowed per contest with 107.7. They are forcing 14.9 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 43.3% from the floor (4th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-2.5)

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