Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, 3/3/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Spectrum Center is where the Charlotte Hornets (30-31) will play the Dallas Mavericks (21-39) on Tuesday.

The Mavericks faced off with the Thunder and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 100-87 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Mavericks ended up with 18 and the Thunder recorded 17 fouls. They made 8 out of their 39 tries from long range. Oklahoma City went 66.7% at the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of 15 tries. Furthermore, Oklahoma City grabbed 46 rebounds (7 offensive, 39 defensive) and added 1 block. Oklahoma City distributed 22 assists and had 9 steals for the game. In reference to defense, Dallas allowed 44.6% from the field on 41 of 92 shooting. They also recorded 20 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. Regarding hauling in rebounds, they earned 49 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Mavericks knocked down 12 of 16 shots for a percentage of 75.0%. Dallas finished the game with a 38.8% FG percentage (33 out of 85) and buried 9 of 31 shots from 3-point land.

Caleb Martin is one guy who was a major contributor for this game. He ended up finishing with 18 points on 6 out of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 30 minutes played and also grabbed 3 boards. Martin went 54.5% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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Dallas comes into this contest with a mark of 21-39 this year. They currently have an average of 113.9 points per outing (23rd in the NBA) while shooting 47.2% from the floor. The Mavericks are connecting on 34.2% on shots from downtown (641 of 1,876) and 74.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Dallas is grabbing 44.7 boards per contest and has totaled 1,498 assists so far this year, which is 24th in the NBA in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.8 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Mavericks are able to force 13.3 turnovers every game while drawing 21.1 fouls. They are ranked 20th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,649 relinquished on the season. The Mavericks defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.9% (2,647 of 5,644) and they surrender 46.6 rebounds per contest as a group. They are giving up 34.0% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 22nd in the league in points per game allowed (117.7).

The last time they took the court, the Hornets walked away with a victory by a final of 109-93 against the Trail Blazers. In the matter of rebounds, Charlotte permitted Portland to grab 39 in all (11 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 23.4% from three-point range by shooting 11 out of 47 and ended up shooting 12 of 19 at the free throw line (63.2%). The Hornets allowed the Trail Blazers to convert 35 of 86 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 40.7% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Hornets walked away from this one shooting 38 out of 91 from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.8%. In regard to shooting from beyond the arc, Charlotte made 16 out of their 42 attempts (38.1%). They were able to make 17 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 68.0%. The Trail Blazers had 19 personal fouls for the contest which got the Hornets to the charity stripe for a total of 25 shots. They also turned the ball over 16 times, while getting 11 steals in the game. The Hornets were able to corral 35 defensive rebounds and 20 offensive rebounds totaling 55 in the matchup.

Brandon Miller pitched in for the Hornets in this matchup. He made 9 out of 19 for this game for a rate of 47.4%, and had 8 rebounds. Miller racked up 26 points in his 33 minutes on the court and had 2 assists in the game.

Charlotte has a win-loss record of 30-31 on the year. The Hornets are responsible for committing 19.0 personal fouls per game and they shoot 81.9% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 26.6 times per game (13th in basketball) and they turn it over 15.9 times per game. Charlotte has accounted for 7,079 points so far this season (116.0 per contest) and they pull in 46.3 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Hornets are connecting on 46.1% from the field, which has them ranked 24th in basketball.

The Charlotte defense concedes 36.3% on 3-point attempts (791 of 2,181) and their opponents are knocking down 80.2% of their free throw attempts. They have relinquished 26.7 assists and 39.2 boards every game, ranking them 13th and 1st in the NBA. The Hornets are ranked 10th in the league in points given up per game with 113.0. They are forcing 12.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.2% from the field (19th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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