Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 1/31/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: ABC

The Houston Rockets (28-17) are hosting the Dallas Mavericks (19-28) at Toyota Center on Saturday.

The Mavericks faced off with the Timberwolves and took a loss by a score of 118-105 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Mavericks finished with 19 and the Timberwolves finished the game with 25 fouls. They knocked down 12 out of their 34 tries from long range. Minnesota finished shooting 74.1% from the free throw line by making 20 of 27 attempts. Additionally, Minnesota pulled down 42 rebounds (11 offensive, 31 defensive) and got 3 blocked shots. Minnesota recorded 26 dimes and had 15 steals for the matchup. In reference to defense, Dallas allowed 45.7% from the field on 43 of 94 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and having 6 steals. In the matter of pulling down rebounds, they compiled 50 with 14 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mavericks converted 26 of 39 tries for a rate of 66.7%. Dallas ended the contest having earned a 45.2% FG percentage (38 out of 84) and made 3 of their 18 shots from beyond the perimeter.

P.J. Washington is a player who was a major contributor in this game. He racked up 21 points on 10 of 20 shooting. He played 34 minutes played and totaled 7 boards. Washington ended up shooting 50.0% from the floor and earned 2 assists.

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Dallas steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 19-28 this year. They are turning it over 15.3 times per game and as a group are committing 19.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Dallas is grabbing 45.0 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 1,191 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 20th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks are hitting 34.2% on shots beyond the perimeter (517 of 1,510) and 74.7% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 114.1 points per game (22nd in the league) while connecting on 47.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Mavericks have forced 13.7 turnovers every game while drawing 21.2 fouls. They surrender 33.1% on three-point shots while they are 21st in the league in PPG allowed (116.6). The Mavericks defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 46.2% (2,038 of 4,408) and they concede 46.9 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 16th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,252 conceded for the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Rockets took a defeat with a final score of 111-99 against the Spurs. The Rockets earned 29 defensive boards and 17 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in this contest. They also turned the ball over 14 times, while recording 12 steals in the game. The Spurs committed 15 personal fouls in this contest which took the Rockets to the charity stripe for 18 tries. They were able to knock down 13 of those for a rate of 72.2%. When talking about shots from beyond the perimeter, Houston buried 8 of their 23 tries (34.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Rockets finished shooting 39 for 99 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.4%. The Rockets allowed the Spurs to bury 44 out of their 82 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.7% for the matchup. They finished 23.1% from beyond the arc by hitting 6 out of 26 and finished the contest at 17 of 24 at the free throw line (70.8%). In regard to how they attacked the glass, Houston allowed San Antonio to snag 46 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Amen Thompson ended up being a major contributor for the Rockets in the game. Thompson racked up 25 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and totaled 4 assists in this game. He made 11 of 23 for the contest for a rate of 47.8%, and tallied 7 rebounds.

Houston has a win-loss mark of 28-17 this year. The Rockets commit 18.9 personal fouls per game and they go 75.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 24.9 times per contest (24th in the league) and they turn it over 15.6 times per game. Houston has scored 5,235 points on the season (116.3 per contest) and they pull down 48.9 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Rockets are shooting 47.6% from the floor, which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

The Rockets are ranked 4th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 110.5. They are able to force 13.5 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (6th in basketball). The Houston defense allows 34.5% on 3-point attempts (547 of 1,586) and opponents are connecting on 75.5% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 24.6 assists and 39.1 boards per contest, which is ranked 3rd and 1st in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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