Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 11/12/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: DAZN

The Dallas Mavericks (7-4) are on their way to Target Center on Thursday where they will compete against the Minnesota Timberwolves (8-3).

The Mavericks played the Pacers and notched a win by a score of 125-122 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Mavericks ended up with 23 while the Pacers recorded 25 personal fouls. They also buried 15 of 35 shots from beyond the perimeter. Indiana finished 75.0% at the free throw line by converting 21 of their 28 tries. On top of that, Indiana snagged 27 boards (1 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Indiana distributed 35 assists and had 9 steals for this game. Concerning defending, Dallas let their opponent shoot 52.4% from the floor on 43 of 82 shooting. They also distributed 26 assists in this contest as well as forcing 13 turnovers and having 9 steals. When it comes to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 43 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Mavericks converted 25 of their 34 tries for a rate of 73.5%. Dallas wrapped up the game having earned a 51.8% FG percentage (43 of 83) and converted 14 of their 34 3-pointers.

Cooper Flagg is someone who was a major contributor in the matchup. He recorded 43 points on 16 out of 25 shooting. He was on the court for 39 minutes and also totaled 10 rebounds. Flagg finished the contest at 64.0% from the floor and also distributed 6 assists.

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Dallas enters this one with a win-loss record of 7-4 this season. They are turning it over 16.3 times per contest and as a squad they commit 22.5 fouls per contest. As a team, Dallas is snagging 44.6 boards per contest and has accounted for 290 assists this year, which ranks 8th in the league in terms of passing. The Mavericks are connecting on 34.4% on three-point shots (136 of 395) and 78.2% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 114.9 points per outing (14th in the league) while hitting 47.7% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Mavericks are forcing their opponents into 15.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.8 personal fouls. They give up 31.7% from beyond the arc and they are 9th in the league in PPG allowed (110.3). The Mavericks defense is giving up a FG percentage of 45.3% (441 of 973) and they relinquish 41.9 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are ranked 23rd in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 290 relinquished this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Timberwolves got the victory with a final of 115-100 against the Jazz. The Timberwolves corralled 35 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 45 in the game. They coughed it up 22 times, while earning 8 steals for this contest. The Jazz had 20 fouls for the game which took the Timberwolves to the free throw line for a total of 32 tries. They were able to convert 27 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 84.4%. In reference to 3-point shots, Minnesota made 12 of their 32 tries (37.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Timberwolves finished the game shooting 38 out of 77 from the floor which had them sitting at 49.4%. The Timberwolves permitted the Jazz to convert 37 out of 87 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.5% in the game. They went 29.2% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 7 out of 24 and finished the game at 19 of 24 from the free throw line (79.2%). In reference to how they rebounded, Minnesota allowed Utah to pull down 37 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Ayo Dosunmu ended up being a factor for the Timberwolves in this matchup. He made 7 of 13 in this game for a rate of 53.8%, and accumulated 4 rebounds. Dosunmu tallied 26 points in his 30 mins on the court and added 1 assist in the matchup.

Minnesota has a win-loss mark of 8-3 on the campaign. The Timberwolves are responsible for committing 22.6 personal fouls per game and they shoot 67.0% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 25.6 times per game (21st in the NBA) and they are turning it over 15.9 times per game. Minnesota has scored 1,299 points for the year (118.1 per contest) and they pull down 48.8 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Timberwolves are shooting 47.4% from the field, which has them ranked 7th in basketball.

The Minnesota defense concedes 32.0% from downtown (122 of 381) and their opponents are converting on 77.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 24.1 assists and 43.4 total boards per game, which ranks them 5th and 14th in the league. The Timberwolves defensively are ranked 7th in the league in points per game surrendered with 107.0. They have forced 16.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 43.5% from the floor (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dallas

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