Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 3/5/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026

Location: Kia Center in Orlando, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Dallas Mavericks (21-40) are traveling to Kia Center on Thursday where they will compete against the Orlando Magic (32-28).

The Mavericks stepped onto the hardwood against the Hornets and went home with a loss by a final score of 117-90 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Mavericks walked away with 19 while the Hornets finished the game with 31 personal fouls. They also buried 20 out of their 51 attempts from beyond the arc. Charlotte shot 68.4% at the free throw line by making 13 of their 19 attempts. In addition, Charlotte had 49 boards (13 offensive, 36 defensive) and earned 4 rejections. Charlotte doled out 32 dimes and had 11 steals in this contest. When talking about the defense, Dallas allowed the other team to go 47.7% from the field on 42 of 88 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Regarding rebounding, they collected 42 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Mavericks converted 31 of 42 attempts for a percentage of 73.8%. Dallas wrapped up the contest having earned a 37.8% FG percentage (28 out of 74) and knocked down 3 of their 22 3-pointers.

Brandon Williams is a player who was a major factor for this game. Williams finished the game at 40.0% from the floor and totaled 1 assist. He saw the court for 27 minutes played and also grabbed 4 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 18 points on 4 of 10 shooting.

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Dallas enters this contest with a record of 21-40 for the season. They cough up possession 14.8 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.3 personal fouls every game. As a team, Dallas is snagging 44.7 boards per game and is sitting with 1,517 assists on the year, which is 25th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks are shooting 33.9% on 3-pointers (644 of 1,898) and 74.0% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 113.5 pts per contest (23rd in the NBA) while hitting 47.1% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Mavericks are forcing their opponents into 13.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.3 fouls. They are ranked 23rd in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,681 relinquished this season. The Mavericks are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.9% (2,689 of 5,732) and they surrender 46.7 boards per game as a squad. They are giving up 34.1% from beyond the arc while they are 22nd in the league in PPG allowed (117.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the Magic went home victorious with a score of 126-109 against the Wizards. Concerning rebounding, Orlando permitted Washington to pull down 42 overall (13 on the offensive side). They shot 21.9% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 of 32 and finished the contest at 16 of 25 at the free throw line (64.0%). The Magic permitted the Wizards to make 43 out of 92 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 46.7% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Magic finished the game shooting 42 out of 76 from the floor which had them at 55.3%. In terms of shots from downtown, Orlando knocked down 10 of 25 attempts (40.0%). They were able to convert 32 of those for a clip of 86.5%. The Wizards were called for 24 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Magic to the free throw line for 37 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while earning 3 steals for the matchup. The Magic were able to snag 35 defensive boards and 3 offensive rebounds totaling 38 in this contest.

Paolo Banchero pitched in for the Magic for this contest. Banchero earned 37 points in his 32 mins of playing time and earned 6 dimes in this matchup. He converted 15 out of 21 for the contest for a rate of 71.4%, and tallied 5 rebounds.

Orlando has a record of 32-28 on the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Magic are hitting on 46.3% from the field, which ranks 20th in basketball. Orlando has totaled 6,886 points on the year (114.8 per contest) and they pull in 43.3 boards per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 26.4 times per contest (16th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.8 times per game. The Magic are responsible for committing 20.8 personal fouls per game and they shoot 79.8% from the free throw line.

The Orlando defense surrenders 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc (694 of 1,976) and their opponents are making 77.8% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 25.1 dimes and 44.0 boards per game, which is 8th and 15th in basketball. The Magic are ranked 12th in the league in points per game surrendered with 114.4. They are forcing their opponents into 15.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.7% from the field (24th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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