Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 1/14/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

The Denver Nuggets (26-13) are on their way to American Airlines Center on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Dallas Mavericks (15-25).

The Nuggets faced off with the Bucks and notched a win by a score of 108-104 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Nuggets walked away with 15 while the Bucks recorded 19 personal fouls. They converted 14 out of their 34 shots from beyond the arc. Milwaukee finished 70.0% from the charity stripe by making 14 of 20 attempts. On top of that, Milwaukee snagged 44 boards (10 offensive, 34 defensive) and added 5 blocked shots. Milwaukee recorded 29 assists and had 5 steals for this game. With regard to defense, Denver allowed 44.7% from the field on 38 out of 85 shooting. They also recorded 23 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they collected 45 with 10 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets buried 24 of their 31 attempts for a percentage of 77.4%. Denver finished the contest having earned a 40.2% FG percentage (35 out of 87) and buried 14 of their 35 shots from 3-point land.

Tim Hardaway Jr. is a guy who had an impact for the matchup. Hardaway ended up going 66.7% from the floor but wasn't able to get an assist. He was on the court for 35 mins and grabbed 2 rebounds. He ended up walking away with 25 points on 8 of 12 shooting.

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Denver will enter this contest with a record of 26-13 this year. They turn it over 13.2 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 18.9 fouls every game. As a team, Denver is collecting 43.2 rebounds per game and is sitting with 1,121 assists on the campaign, which is 7th in basketball in terms of passing. The Nuggets are shooting 40.2% on shots from distance (550 of 1,367) and 81.7% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 122.7 pts per contest (1st in the league) while connecting on 50.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Nuggets are able to force 12.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.5 personal fouls. They currently rank 23rd in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,078 relinquished so far this year. The Nuggets defense is allowing a FG percentage of 47.2% (1,676 of 3,552) and they surrender 42.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are conceding 35.6% from 3-point land while they are 20th in the NBA in opponents points per game (117.5).

When they last played, the Mavericks took home the win by a final score of 113-105 against the Nets. In relation to attacking the glass, Dallas allowed Brooklyn to grab 43 in all (13 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 24.3% from 3-point land via 9 out of 37 and finished the contest at 18 of 20 from the free throw line (90.0%). The Mavericks permitted the Nets to bury 39 out of their 86 attempts from the floor which had them at 45.3% in this game. When this game wrapped up, the Mavericks ended up going 43 out of 85 from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.6%. Concerning shots from 3-point land, Dallas converted 15 out of 34 attempts (44.1%). They were able to knock down 12 of those for a clip of 75.0%. The Nets had 20 fouls for this contest which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 16 tries. They also gave up possession 14 times, while earning 9 steals for the game. The Mavericks pulled down 28 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 37 in this matchup.

Cooper Flagg was important for the Mavericks for this game. Flagg tallied 27 points in his 35 mins of playing time and earned 5 assists in the matchup. He made 10 out of 17 in this contest for a field goal rate of 58.8%, and had 5 rebounds.

Dallas has a record of 15-25 so far this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.0% from the field, which ranks 16th in the NBA. Dallas has scored 4,519 points so far this year (113.0 per game) and they snag 44.5 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 25.2 times per game (21st in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.5 times per game. The Mavericks have committed 19.0 fouls every game and they connect on 75.7% from the charity stripe.

The Dallas defense concedes 32.9% on shots from beyond the arc (469 of 1,426) and their opposition makes 78.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 26.6 assists and 47.4 boards per contest, which is 15th and 29th in basketball. The Mavericks defensively are ranked 19th in the league in points per game surrendered with 116.8. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.2% from the floor (7th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Denver

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