Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 11/9/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Date: Monday, November 9, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Toyota Center is where the Houston Rockets (7-2) will play the Denver Nuggets (4-3) on Monday.

The Nuggets took the court against the Raptors and earned the victory with a final of 128-109 in their last contest. Denver ended the contest with a 61.5% field goal percentage (48 of 78) and made 9 of their 23 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets buried 23 of their 27 attempts for a percentage of 85.2%. With respect to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 36 with 7 of them being offensive. They also recorded 35 assists in this matchup as well as forcing 16 turnovers and earning 11 steals. Regarding the defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 48.2% from the field on 41 of 85 shooting. Toronto earned 29 assists and had 10 steals for this game. Moreover, Toronto pulled down 29 rebounds (11 offensive, 18 defensive) and added 1 block. Toronto walked away from this one shooting 68.2% from the free throw line by burying 15 of their 22 attempts. They knocked down 12 out of their 34 shots from beyond the arc. Regarding personal fouls, the Nuggets walked away with 18 and the Raptors accumulated 23 personal fouls.

Nikola Jokic is one player who was a factor in the matchup. He ended up finishing with 32 points on 13 of 19 shooting. He saw the court for 30 minutes and collected 10 boards. Jokic finished shooting 68.4% from the field and distributed 11 assists.

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Denver enters this matchup with a record of 4-3 on the year. They turn it over 15.7 times per game and as a squad they are committing 19.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Denver is snagging 41.6 boards per game and has tallied 193 assists for the season, which is 29th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Nuggets are hitting 37.2% on 3-pointers (83 of 223) and 80.9% from the charity stripe. They average 115.4 points per game (13th in the league) while going 49.0% from the field.

On defense, the Nuggets are forcing their opponents into 16.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 23.7 fouls. They surrender 35.3% on shots from downtown and they rank 20th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (114.7). The Nuggets defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.8% (296 of 632) and they concede 43.7 boards per contest as a group. They rank 4th in basketball in giving up assists with 199 surrendered for the season.

The last time they took the court, the Rockets took a defeat by a final score of 117-107 when they faced the Timberwolves. The Rockets corralled 27 defensive boards and 14 offensive boards for a total of 41 for this game. They turned it over 22 times, while getting 6 steals for the game. The Timberwolves were called for 25 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Rockets to the free throw line for a total of 30 shots. They were able to knock down 24 of them for a rate of 80.0%. In the matter of shooting from distance, Houston knocked down 13 out of 37 tries (35.1%). When the final whistle was blown, the Rockets shot 35 out of 82 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.7%. The Rockets allowed the Timberwolves to make 46 of 87 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 52.9% for this contest. They finished the game shooting 42.9% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 15 out of 35 and ended up shooting 10 out of 19 from the free throw line (52.6%). When talking about how they rebounded, Houston permitted Minnesota to get 45 overall (15 offensive).

Kevin Durant pitched in for the Rockets for the matchup. He converted 7 of 14 in this game giving him a rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 5 rebounds. Durant earned 21 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and tallied 2 assists for this game.

Houston has a mark of 7-2 so far this season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Rockets are shooting 49.0% from the field, which has them ranked 2nd in the league. Houston has accounted for 1,061 points so far this season (117.9 per game) and they collect 43.8 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 28.0 times per contest (4th in basketball) and they turn it over 15.9 times per contest. The Rockets commit 19.8 fouls per game and they connect on 81.4% from the charity stripe.

The Rockets defensively are ranked 6th in the league in points per game surrendered with 107.6. They have forced 16.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.6% from the floor (16th in the league). The Houston defense gives up 31.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (108 of 346) and their opponents are knocking down 72.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 23.7 assists and 39.7 rebounds per game, which is 4th and 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston

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