Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 4/25/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-1.0)

The Denver Nuggets (54-28) are traveling to Target Center on Saturday where they will meet the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) in Game 4 of their series. Minnesota leads 2-1. Minnesota opens this matchup as 1.0-point underdogs. The total comes in at 229.5.

The Nuggets took a loss by a final of 113-96 in Game 3. Denver walked away from the game having earned a 34.1% field goal percentage (28 out of 82) and converted 8 of 32 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Nuggets made 32 of 40 attempts for a rate of 80.0%. With respect to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 40 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 12 dimes in this contest while creating 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. With regard to defending, Denver let their opponent shoot 47.3% from the floor on 44 of 93 shooting. Minnesota distributed 31 dimes and had 6 steals in this game. Furthermore, Minnesota grabbed 53 rebounds (12 offensive, 41 defensive) and earned 2 rejections. Minnesota walked away from this one shooting 76.2% at the free throw line by converting 16 of 21 attempts. They knocked down 9 of their 34 attempts from downtown. Concerning personal fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 18 while the Timberwolves finished the game with 27 personal fouls.

Nikola Jokic is one guy who was a major factor for the contest. He scored 27 points on 7 out of 26 shooting. He played 35 minutes played and also collected 15 boards. Jokic shot 26.9% from the floor and also totaled 3 dimes.

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Denver will take the court with a record of 54-28 this year. They are turning it over 12.9 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 19.1 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Denver is snagging 44.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,375 assists on the year, which ranks 4th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Nuggets are hitting 39.6% on shots from downtown (1,161 of 2,934) and 80.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 122.1 pts per contest (1st in the NBA) while connecting on 49.6% from the floor.

Defensively, the Nuggets have forced 11.8 turnovers every game and they draw 21.5 fouls. They are surrendering 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 21st in the NBA in PPG allowed (116.9). The Nuggets are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.8% (3,503 of 7,481) and they relinquish 42.8 boards per contest as a basketball team. They rank 20th in the league in giving up assists with 2,254 surrendered this year.

Minnesota dominated both ends of the court in Game 3 to take a 2-1 series lead. In the matter of how they rebounded, Minnesota permitted Denver to collect 40 in total (6 offensive). They shot 25.0% from 3-point land by shooting 8 out of 32 and ended up shooting 32 of 40 from the free throw line (80.0%). The Timberwolves permitted the Nuggets to convert 28 of 82 tries from the field which had them shooting 34.1% for this game. Overall, the Timberwolves went 44 for 93 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.3%. In regard to shots from downtown, Minnesota converted 9 out of 34 attempts (26.5%). They were able to knock down 16 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 76.2%. The Nuggets had 18 fouls for this game which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for 21 attempts. They turned it over 11 times, while getting 6 steals in this contest. The Timberwolves were able to collect 41 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 53 in this matchup.

Ayo Dosunmu pitched in for the Timberwolves in this contest. Dosunmu racked up 25 points in his 32 mins on the court and had 9 dimes in this contest. He converted 10 out of 15 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and accounted for 3 rebounds.

Minnesota has a mark of 49-33 for the year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Timberwolves are connecting on 48.1% from the floor, which is ranked 9th in the league. Minnesota has totaled 9,676 pts on the season (118.0 per contest) and they pull down 44.1 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 26.1 times per contest (16th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 14.8 times per game. The Timberwolves commit 21.2 fouls per game while shooting 75.2% from the free throw line.

The Minnesota defense allows 35.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (990 of 2,786) and their opponents are connecting on 78.1% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 26.0 dimes and 43.7 boards per game, which is 10th and 16th in basketball. The Timberwolves on defense are ranked 12th in the league in PPG given up with 114.6. They have forced 15.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (7th in the NBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Minnesota (+1.0)

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