Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 5/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Monday, May 11, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (+3.5)

The Cleveland Cavaliers (52-30) are welcoming the Detroit Pistons (60-22) at Rocket Arena on Monday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Detroit leads 2-1. Detroit opens as 3.5-point dogs. The total is set at 212.5.

The Pistons took a loss by a final of 116-109 in Game 3. In the matter of fouls, the Pistons ended up walking away with 25 while the Cavaliers had 17 fouls. They made 12 of their 32 shots from beyond the perimeter. Cleveland finished the game shooting 64.3% at the charity stripe by making 18 of 28 shots. In addition, Cleveland grabbed 33 rebounds (5 offensive, 28 defensive) and had 4 blocked shots. Cleveland earned 22 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. When talking about the defense, Detroit allowed their opponent to shoot 58.1% from the floor on 43 of 74 shooting. They also doled out 23 assists in this game while forcing 15 turnovers and earning 12 steals. With respect to grabbing boards, they collected 40 with 17 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Pistons made 18 of 22 attempts for a rate of 81.8%. Detroit finished the game with a 45.1% field goal percentage (41 out of 91) and made 9 of their 25 shots from 3-point land.

Cade Cunningham is a player who was a major contributor for the game. He notched 27 points on 10 of 27 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 minutes and grabbed 10 boards. Cunningham finished 37.0% from the field and also distributed 10 assists.

Get all of our NBA Picks Today

Detroit enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 60-22 this year. They turn the ball over 15.1 times per game and as a squad are committing 22.0 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Detroit is collecting 45.6 rebounds per contest and has earned 2,281 dimes on the year, which has them ranked 11th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Pistons are connecting on 35.6% on 3-point shots (902 of 2,534) and 76.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 117.8 pts per contest (8th in the league) while going 48.5% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Pistons are able to force 16.9 turnovers per game while drawing 21.3 fouls. They give up 34.5% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 3rd in basketball in PPG allowed (109.6). The Pistons defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 44.3% (3,096 of 6,988) and they surrender 40.5 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 1st in basketball in giving up assists with 1,925 conceded so far this year.

Cleveland was able to make it a series with a convincing Game 3 win. The Cavaliers corralled 28 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 33 in this matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while earning 3 steals for this contest. The Pistons were called for 25 personal fouls in the game which got the Cavaliers to the free throw line for 28 tries. They were able to convert 18 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 64.3%. When discussing 3-point attempts, Cleveland knocked down 12 of 32 tries (37.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Cavaliers walked away from this one shooting 43 out of 74 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 58.1%. The Cavaliers allowed the Pistons to make 41 of their 91 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 45.1% in the game. They wrapped up this game 36.0% from distance by shooting 9 of 25 and ended up going 18 out of 22 from the free throw line (81.8%). Regarding team rebounding, Cleveland permitted Detroit to get 40 overall (17 offensive).

Donovan Mitchell ended up having an impact for the Cavaliers in this contest. He buried 13 of 24 in this game for a rate of 54.2%, and earned 10 rebounds. Mitchell accumulated 35 points in his 38 minutes on the court and had 4 dimes in this matchup.

Cleveland has a win-loss mark of 52-30 for the campaign. The Cavaliers commit 19.6 fouls every game while shooting 77.6% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 28.3 times per contest (8th in the league) and they are turning it over 14.0 times per game. Cleveland has accounted for 9,801 pts for the season (119.5 per game) and they pull in 44.4 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Cavaliers are connecting on 48.2% from the field, which is 8th in the league.

The Cavaliers defensively are ranked 15th in the league in points per game surrendered with 115.4. They are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.4% from the floor (8th in the league). The Cleveland defense gives up 37.2% on 3-point attempts (1,163 of 3,127) and their opponents are knocking down 79.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 26.9 assists and 43.2 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 16th and 12th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (+3.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.