Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/8/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Detroit Pistons (45-16) are on their way to Kaseya Center on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Miami Heat (34-29).

The Pistons faced the Spurs and took a loss by a score of 121-106 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Pistons ended up with 23 and the Spurs totaled 20 personal fouls. They made 13 out of their 37 attempts from distance. San Antonio ended up shooting 80.0% when shooting free throws by making 24 of 30 shots. Additionally, San Antonio grabbed 46 boards (8 offensive, 38 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. San Antonio dished out 24 assists and had 5 steals for the contest. In the matter of the defense, Detroit allowed the other team to go 50.0% from the floor on 42 of 84 shooting. They also doled out 20 dimes in this contest while forcing 9 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 44 with 14 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Pistons made 24 of their 30 shots for a percentage of 80.0%. Detroit wrapped up the game having earned a 40.2% FG percentage (35 out of 87) and converted 12 of their 28 shots from beyond the arc.

Cade Cunningham is a guy who played a role for the contest. He had 26 points on 10 of 26 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 mins and snagged 4 rebounds. Cunningham finished shooting 38.5% from the floor and also recorded 8 assists.

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Detroit heads into this one with a win-loss record of 45-16 this year. They are turning it over 15.2 times per game and as a unit they commit 22.3 personal fouls every game. As a team, Detroit is snagging 46.2 rebounds per contest and has racked up 1,625 dimes so far this season, which ranks 16th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Pistons are connecting on 34.5% on 3-pointers (661 of 1,916) and 75.7% from the charity stripe. They average 117.0 points per outing (9th in basketball) while shooting 47.8% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Pistons are forcing their opponents into 17.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.7 fouls. They are surrendering 34.9% on 3-point attempts and they are 4th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (109.6). The Pistons defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.1% (2,286 of 5,187) and they concede 41.3 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are 1st in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,431 surrendered so far this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Heat got the victory with a final of 126-110 against the Nets. When it comes to cleaning up the glass, Miami permitted Brooklyn to get 49 in all (21 offensive). They shot 39.0% from 3-point land by shooting 16 of 41 and ended up shooting 12 out of 18 from the charity stripe (66.7%). The Heat allowed the Nets to knock down 41 out of their 95 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.2% for this game. Overall, the Heat went 48 for 91 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.7%. Concerning shooting from downtown, Miami converted 9 out of their 27 tries (33.3%). They were able to knock down 21 of them for a rate of 87.5%. The Nets had 19 personal fouls in this game which took the Heat to the charity stripe for 24 attempts. They turned it over 14 times, while getting 13 steals for this contest. The Heat snagged 33 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 45 for this game.

Tyler Herro was important for the Heat for the contest. Herro had 25 points in his 31 minutes of playing time and had 5 dimes for the matchup. He knocked down 9 of 16 in this game for a field goal percentage of 56.3%, and had 4 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 34-29 on the season. The Heat have committed 18.9 personal fouls every game and they connect on 78.7% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 28.6 times per contest (7th in the league) and they turn it over 14.1 times per contest. Miami has 7,560 pts this year (120.0 per contest) and they pull down 47.2 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Heat are shooting 46.5% from the field, which is ranked 18th in the league.

The Miami defense gives up 34.8% on three-point shots (865 of 2,489) and their opponents are converting on 80.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 27.0 dimes and 47.1 boards every game, ranking them 18th and 29th in basketball. The Heat defensively are ranked 20th in the league in points per game surrendered with 116.6. They are able to force 15.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.6% from the floor (5th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit

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