Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 3/28/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Minnesota Timberwolves (45-28) will compete against the Detroit Pistons (53-20) at Target Center on Saturday.

The Pistons faced the Pelicans and walked away with a win by a score of 129-108 in their last game. Detroit finished the contest with a 56.5% FG percentage (48 of 85) and knocked down 15 out of their 28 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Pistons made 18 of 23 shots for a percentage of 78.3%. In relation to pulling down boards, they collected a total of 45 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 34 assists in the matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and getting 9 steals. When talking about the defense, Detroit allowed 46.3% from the floor on 44 out of 95 shooting. New Orleans earned 26 assists and had 12 steals in the game. In addition, New Orleans snagged 42 rebounds (16 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. New Orleans finished the game at 45.8% from the free throw line by making 11 of 24 attempts. They also converted 9 out of their 25 shots from long range. When talking about fouls, the Pistons ended up with 18 while the Pelicans accumulated 20 fouls.

Jalen Duren is one player who was a major contributor for this contest. He notched 30 points on 10 of 12 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 31 mins played and pulled down 10 rebounds. Duren finished 83.3% from the field and recorded 7 dimes.

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Detroit heads into this matchup with a record of 53-20 for the campaign. They are turning it over 14.9 times per contest and as a team they commit 22.1 fouls per game. As a unit, Detroit is grabbing 45.7 boards per game and is sitting with 1,994 assists this season, which is 12th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Pistons are connecting on 35.0% on three-point attempts (794 of 2,271) and 76.2% from the free throw line. They are averaging 117.6 pts per contest (8th in basketball) while connecting on 48.2% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Pistons have forced 17.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.5 personal fouls. They give up 34.8% on 3-point attempts and they are 3rd in the league in PPG allowed (109.8). The Pistons defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 44.4% (2,763 of 6,223) and they surrender 41.1 rebounds per contest as a squad. They currently rank 1st in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,717 surrendered so far this year.

In their last game, the Timberwolves walked away with a victory by a final of 110-108 when they faced the Rockets. In reference to how they cleaned up the glass, Minnesota permitted Houston to collect 54 in all (17 on the offensive side). They went 31.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 out of 29 and ended up shooting 23 out of 25 from the free throw line (92.0%). The Timberwolves allowed the Rockets to bury 38 out of their 93 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 40.9% in the game. In all, the Timberwolves went 45 for 108 from the floor which had them at 41.7%. In the matter of shots from beyond the arc, Minnesota made 13 out of 37 tries (35.1%). They were able to convert 7 of the free throws for a clip of 70.0%. The Rockets were called for 15 fouls in this game which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for a total of 10 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while getting 11 steals in the game. The Timberwolves were able to snag 33 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds totaling 49 in this contest.

Jaden McDaniels ended up being a major contributor for the Timberwolves for the contest. McDaniels tallied 25 points in his 37 minutes on the court, but went home with no dimes. He buried 10 of 17 in the matchup for a rate of 58.8%, and had 2 rebounds.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 45-28 for the season. The Timberwolves commit 21.2 fouls every game and they go 75.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 26.2 times per contest (16th in the league) and they are turning it over 14.9 times per game. Minnesota has totaled 8,634 pts this year (118.3 per contest) and they grab 44.7 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Timberwolves are shooting 48.3% from the field, which has them ranked 4th in the NBA.

The Timberwolves defensively are ranked 11th in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 114.4. They are forcing 14.9 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (6th in the NBA). The Minnesota defense concedes 35.6% on 3-point shots (905 of 2,542) and opponents are making 78.0% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 25.9 dimes and 43.3 boards per game, ranking them 9th and 12th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit

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