Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/23/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Monday, March 23, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Peacock

The Golden State Warriors (33-38) are headed to American Airlines Center on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Dallas Mavericks (23-48).

The Warriors took the court against the Hawks and ended up losing by a score of 126-110 in their last game. When it comes to personal fouls, the Warriors ended up with 16 and the Hawks racked up 19 personal fouls. They knocked down 13 of 40 attempts from beyond the arc. Atlanta ended up going 85.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 17 of 20 tries. Furthermore, Atlanta totaled 41 rebounds (11 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 3 rejections. Atlanta doled out 31 assists and had 6 steals for the game. When it comes to the defense, Golden State let their opponent shoot 53.9% from the field on 48 out of 89 shooting. They also recorded 33 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 5 steals. When discussing rebounding, they compiled 44 with 13 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Warriors knocked down 13 of their 17 attempts for a rate of 76.5%. Golden State ended the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (41 of 82) and made 15 out of their 42 three-point shots.

De'Anthony Melton is someone who came through in the game. Melton finished the game shooting 46.7% from the field and also distributed 4 dimes. He was on the court for 22 mins played and collected 2 rebounds. He recorded 20 points on 7 out of 15 shooting.

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Golden State enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 33-38 this year. They average 114.7 points per game (19th in basketball) while shooting 45.9% from the floor. The Warriors are shooting 35.6% on shots from 3-point land (1,136 of 3,194) and 80.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Golden State is pulling down 42.5 boards per contest and has earned 2,055 assists on the year, which is 3rd in the league in terms of passing. They are turning it over 15.6 times per contest and as a squad are committing 19.7 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Warriors are able to force 16.0 turnovers every game and they draw 18.3 fouls. They rank 15th in the NBA in giving up assists with 1,896 conceded this year. The Warriors defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.5% (2,988 of 6,291) and they relinquish 45.0 boards per game as a basketball team. They are surrendering 35.2% on shots from distance and they are 12th in the NBA in PPG allowed (114.6).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Mavericks took a defeat with a final score of 138-131 against the Clippers. In regard to cleaning up the glass, Dallas allowed Los Angeles to grab 41 in all (9 offensive). They finished 50.0% from distance by going 21 out of 42 and finished the game at 15 out of 18 from the free throw line (83.3%). The Mavericks allowed the Clippers to knock down 51 out of 90 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 56.7% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Mavericks went 48 for 102 from the field which gave them a rate of 47.1%. In the matter of three-point shots, Dallas converted 13 of their 34 attempts (38.2%). They were able to knock down 22 of them for a percentage of 75.9%. The Clippers were called for 17 personal fouls in this game which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 29 tries. They turned it over 21 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Mavericks collected 21 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 29 for the game.

Naji Marshall ended up being a major contributor for the Mavericks in this game. He converted 11 out of 23 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 47.8%, and had 2 rebounds. Marshall had 28 points in his 37 mins on the court and had 4 dimes in this matchup.

Dallas has a mark of 23-48 this year. The Mavericks commit 18.1 personal fouls every game and they shoot 74.8% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 25.1 times per contest (23rd in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.8 times per game. Dallas has accounted for 8,059 pts this year (113.5 per contest) and they grab 44.9 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mavericks are hitting on 46.8% from the floor, which is ranked 15th in basketball.

The Mavericks defensively are ranked 24th in basketball in PPG given up with 118.7. They are able to force 13.1 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.5% from the floor (22nd in basketball). The Dallas defense concedes 34.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter (899 of 2,601) and their opposition knocks down 76.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 28.2 assists and 46.5 total rebounds per game, ranking them 27th and 27th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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