Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/5/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Prime Video

The Houston Rockets (38-22) are hosting the Golden State Warriors (31-30) at Toyota Center on Thursday.

The Warriors stepped onto the hardwood against the Clippers and took a loss by a score of 114-101 in their last game. Golden State finished having earned a 38.7% field goal percentage (36 out of 93) and converted 17 of their 48 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Warriors made 12 of 17 tries for a percentage of 70.6%. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they compiled 40 with 15 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 26 assists in this game in addition to creating 14 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Regarding defending, Golden State allowed the other team to shoot 49.4% from the field on 42 out of 85 shooting. Los Angeles distributed 18 dimes and had 9 steals in the game. Furthermore, Los Angeles collected 52 boards (15 offensive, 37 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Los Angeles finished the game shooting 91.3% from the free throw line by burying 21 of their 23 tries. They also knocked down 9 out of their 31 attempts from long range. When talking about personal fouls, the Warriors finished with 17 and the Clippers totaled 17 personal fouls.

Brandin Podziemski is a player who came through for this game. Podziemski finished the game shooting 50.0% from the floor and recorded 3 dimes. He played 37 minutes played and also totaled 7 rebounds. He left the arena with 22 points on 9 out of 18 shooting.

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Golden State enters this one with a record of 31-30 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 15.6 times per contest and as a group are committing 19.8 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Golden State is collecting 42.8 boards per game and has tallied 1,781 dimes for the year, which ranks 5th in basketball in terms of passing. The Warriors are shooting 36.0% from downtown (997 of 2,769) and 80.6% from the free throw line. They are averaging 115.3 pts per game (16th in the league) on 46.1% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Warriors have forced 15.9 turnovers per game and they draw 18.3 personal fouls. They rank 13th in the league in allowing assists with 1,632 conceded for the campaign. The Warriors defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 47.3% (2,559 of 5,411) and they concede 45.0 boards per contest as a basketball team. They relinquish 35.3% from 3-point land and they are ranked 11th in the league in opponents PPG (114.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Rockets got the victory with a final of 123-118 against the Wizards. When it comes to team rebounding, Houston permitted Washington to collect 27 in total (7 on the offensive side). They finished 54.3% from three-point range by hitting 19 of 35 and ended up shooting 11 of 14 from the charity stripe (78.6%). The Rockets permitted the Wizards to convert 44 out of their 91 tries from the floor which had them at 48.4% in the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Rockets finished 45 out of 92 from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.9%. With regard to shots from downtown, Houston converted 9 of their 25 tries (36.0%). They were able to knock down 24 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 85.7%. The Wizards earned 24 fouls for this game which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for 28 attempts. They also turned it over 21 times, while getting 10 steals for this contest. The Rockets earned 38 defensive rebounds and 21 offensive boards for a total of 59 in this game.

Alperen Sengun ended up being important for the Rockets in this matchup. He made 12 of 20 in this game for a rate of 60.0%, and had 13 rebounds. Sengun recorded 32 points in his 38 minutes of playing time and added 2 assists in the game.

Houston has a mark of 38-22 this year. The Rockets commit 18.4 personal fouls every game and they shoot 76.1% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 24.8 times per game (25th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 15.6 times per contest. Houston has 6,881 points so far this season (114.7 per game) and they grab 48.4 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Rockets are hitting on 47.5% from the floor, which is ranked 10th in the NBA.

The Houston defense allows 34.8% on 3-point attempts (734 of 2,109) and their opposition makes 75.6% of their free throw attempts. They concede 24.3 dimes and 39.6 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 2nd and 2nd in basketball. The Rockets on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in basketball in points allowed per contest with 109.4. They are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 45.6% from the field (5th in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Houston and under the total points

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