Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 2/25/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN

The Golden State Warriors (30-27) are on their way to FedExForum on Wednesday where they will take on the Memphis Grizzlies (21-35).

The Warriors played the Nuggets and walked away with a win by a score of 128-117 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Warriors ended up finishing with 24 while the Nuggets had 11 personal fouls. They converted 8 out of their 31 tries from beyond the arc. Denver finished shooting 86.2% at the free throw line by making 25 of their 29 attempts. Furthermore, Denver totaled 44 rebounds (14 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 2 blocks. Denver earned 25 dimes and had 13 steals for the matchup. Regarding the defense, Golden State allowed 46.2% from the field on 42 of 91 shooting. They also dished out 42 assists for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and having 14 steals. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 44 with 9 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Warriors converted 11 of their 12 attempts for a rate of 91.7%. Golden State walked away from the game having earned a 51.1% FG percentage (48 out of 94) and made 21 out of their 52 three-point attempts.

Moses Moody is one guy who was a contributor in the game. He totaled 23 points on 9 of 16 shooting. He played for 35 mins and also collected 7 rebounds. Moody walked away from this one shooting 56.3% from the field and also distributed 5 assists.

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Golden State will enter this contest with a mark of 30-27 this year. They are turning it over 15.6 times per game and as a group they commit 19.8 fouls every game. As a unit, Golden State is pulling down 42.5 boards per contest and has accounted for 1,660 assists this season, which has them ranked 6th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Warriors are shooting 36.3% on shots from 3-point land (938 of 2,586) and 80.8% from the free throw line. They have an average of 115.6 pts per contest (15th in the NBA) while hitting 46.2% from the field.

On defense, the Warriors are able to force 16.1 turnovers every game while drawing 18.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 16th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,535 surrendered for the campaign. The Warriors defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 47.2% (2,385 of 5,051) and they relinquish 44.9 rebounds per contest as a team. They surrender 35.2% from beyond the arc while they are 11th in the league in opponents PPG (113.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Grizzlies took a loss by a final score of 123-114 against the Kings. When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Memphis allowed Sacramento to grab 45 in total (13 offensive). They shot 34.5% from distance by connecting on 10 of 29 and finished the game at 19 out of 25 from the free throw line (76.0%). The Grizzlies allowed the Kings to convert 47 of 94 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 50.0% in the game. When the final whistle blew, the Grizzlies ended up going 42 out of 87 from the field which had them shooting 48.3%. Pertaining to shots from downtown, Memphis converted 12 out of 34 tries (35.3%). They were able to knock down 18 of those for a percentage of 90.0%. The Kings earned 15 personal fouls in the game which took the Grizzlies to the charity stripe for a total of 20 tries. They also turned it over 18 times, while getting 13 steals for the matchup. The Grizzlies corralled 28 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 37 in the matchup.

Javon Small pitched in for the Grizzlies in this contest. He converted 6 out of 8 for this contest giving him a rate of 75.0%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Small recorded 21 points in his 25 mins of playing time and had 9 assists for this game.

Memphis has a win-loss record of 21-35 this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Grizzlies are shooting 45.9% from the floor, which ranks 23rd in the NBA. Memphis has accumulated 6,466 points for the campaign (115.5 per game) and they snag 44.7 boards per game. They are earning an assist 28.8 times per contest (6th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 15.2 times per game. The Grizzlies are responsible for committing 20.0 fouls per game and they go 79.3% from the charity stripe.

The Memphis defense surrenders 36.1% on three-point shots (795 of 2,200) and their opponents are connecting on 78.6% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 27.4 dimes and 45.3 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 22nd and 23rd in the NBA. The Grizzlies defensively are ranked 22nd in the NBA in PPG allowed with 117.8. They are forcing 15.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.1% from the floor (16th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Golden State

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