Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 1/24/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ABC

Target Center is the location where the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18) will go up against the Golden State Warriors (25-21) on Saturday.

The Warriors took the court against the Mavericks and went home with a loss by a final score of 123-115 in their last game. Golden State finished the game having earned a 44.8% field goal percentage (43 of 96) and buried 15 of their 46 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Warriors made 14 of 18 tries for a percentage of 77.8%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 35 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 41 assists for the game in addition to forcing 17 turnovers and earning 13 steals. In reference to the defense, Golden State allowed the other team to go 50.0% from the field on 43 of 86 shooting. Dallas totaled 33 dimes and had 13 steals for the contest. Furthermore, Dallas snagged 54 rebounds (11 offensive, 43 defensive) and got 4 blocked shots. Dallas walked away from this one shooting 80.0% when shooting free throws by making 24 of their 30 attempts. They also knocked down 13 of 35 shots from beyond the perimeter. When talking about personal fouls, the Warriors walked away with 23 while the Mavericks accounted for 18 personal fouls.

Stephen Curry is one guy who was a factor in this matchup. He recorded 38 points on 14 out of 27 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 34 minutes played and also collected 4 rebounds. Curry shot 51.9% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.

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Golden State will play this contest with a record of 25-21 for the year. They are losing possession via turnover 15.4 times per contest and as a unit are committing 20.0 fouls per contest. As a unit, Golden State is pulling in 42.8 rebounds per contest and has earned 1,323 assists on the campaign, which is 4th in basketball in terms of passing. The Warriors are connecting on 36.7% on 3-pointers (751 of 2,049) and 81.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 116.8 points per outing (13th in basketball) on 46.3% from the floor.

Defensively, the Warriors have forced 15.8 turnovers every game and they draw 19.3 personal fouls. They are ranked 23rd in the NBA in allowing assists with 1,225 conceded on the season. The Warriors defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 47.2% (1,934 of 4,100) and they relinquish 44.5 boards per game as a team. They relinquish 35.2% from beyond the arc and they are 10th in the league in PPG from their opponents (114.2).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Timberwolves took a loss by a final score of 120-115 when they played the Bulls. When talking about how they attacked the glass, Minnesota allowed Chicago to collect 43 overall (5 offensive). They finished shooting 43.6% from downtown by going 17 out of 39 and finished the game at 27 of 33 from the free throw line (81.8%). The Timberwolves allowed the Bulls to make 38 of their 86 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.2% in this contest. Overall, the Timberwolves shot 43 for 93 from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.2%. In terms of shots from downtown, Minnesota knocked down 15 of their 41 tries (36.6%). They were able to knock down 14 of them for a percentage of 93.3%. The Bulls earned 17 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for a total of 15 shots. They turned the ball over 20 times, while earning 8 steals for the matchup. The Timberwolves earned 36 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 45 in this matchup.

Julius Randle ended up having an impact for the Timberwolves in the matchup. He buried 10 out of 17 in this game giving him a rate of 58.8%, and had 7 rebounds. Randle recorded 30 points in his 31 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 6 assists for this game.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 27-18 on the year. As an offense, the Timberwolves are connecting on 48.4% from the field, which ranks 4th in basketball. Minnesota has accounted for 5,399 pts so far this year (120.0 per game) and they grab 44.7 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 26.8 times per contest (10th in basketball) and they cough up possession 14.1 times per contest. The Timberwolves commit 21.6 fouls per contest and they hit 75.3% from the charity stripe.

The Timberwolves on the defensive end are ranked 12th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 115.1. They are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.3% from the field (6th in the NBA). The Minnesota defense gives up 35.8% on 3-point shots (563 of 1,571) and opponents are connecting on 77.5% of their free throw shots. They allow 26.0 assists and 43.1 total rebounds per game, which ranks 10th and 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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