Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 1/26/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Monday, January 26, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Peacock

Target Center is where the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18) will take on the Golden State Warriors (25-21) on Monday.

The Warriors faced off with the Mavericks and took a loss by a final of 123-115 in their last contest. Golden State walked away from the game with a 44.8% field goal percentage (43 out of 96) and converted 15 of 46 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Warriors converted 14 of their 18 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. Concerning getting rebounds, they compiled 35 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 41 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and earning 13 steals. With respect to defending, Golden State let their opponent shoot 50.0% from the field on 43 out of 86 shooting. Dallas distributed 33 assists and had 13 steals in the matchup. Moreover, Dallas grabbed 54 rebounds (11 offensive, 43 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Dallas ended up going 80.0% at the charity stripe by burying 24 of 30 tries. They buried 13 out of their 35 tries from downtown. In regard to personal fouls, the Warriors ended up walking away with 23 and the Mavericks totaled 18 personal fouls.

Stephen Curry is someone who played a role in the matchup. He had 38 points on 14 of 27 shooting. He saw the court for 34 mins and also grabbed 4 rebounds. Curry finished shooting 51.9% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Golden State steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 25-21 this season. They cough up possession 15.4 times per contest and as a unit are committing 20.0 personal fouls per game. As a team, Golden State is pulling in 42.8 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,323 dimes on the campaign, which is 6th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Warriors are connecting on 36.7% on shots beyond the perimeter (751 of 2,049) and 81.5% from the free throw line. They average 116.8 points per contest (14th in the NBA) while hitting 46.3% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Warriors are able to force 15.8 turnovers every game and they draw 19.3 fouls. They give up 35.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 11th in the league in points per game allowed (114.2). The Warriors defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 47.2% (1,934 of 4,100) and they concede 44.5 rebounds per game as a squad. They are ranked 18th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,225 conceded this season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Timberwolves walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 120-115 when they faced the Bulls. When it comes to how they attacked the glass, Minnesota allowed Chicago to grab 43 in total (5 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 43.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 17 of 39 and ended up shooting 27 of 33 at the free throw line (81.8%). The Timberwolves allowed the Bulls to convert 38 out of their 86 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.2% for the game. Overall, the Timberwolves went 43 for 93 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.2%. In the matter of 3-point shots, Minnesota converted 15 of 41 attempts (36.6%). They were able to bury 14 of those for a rate of 93.3%. The Bulls committed 17 personal fouls in the game which got the Timberwolves to the charity stripe for a total of 15 attempts. They turned it over 20 times, while recording 8 steals for the game. The Timberwolves pulled down 36 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 45 for the game.

Julius Randle ended up being a factor for the Timberwolves in the matchup. He converted 10 out of 17 in this matchup for a rate of 58.8%, and had 7 rebounds. Randle had 30 points in his 31 mins on the court and accumulated 6 dimes in this contest.

Minnesota has a mark of 27-18 for the season. The Timberwolves commit 21.6 fouls per game while shooting 75.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 26.8 times per game (10th in the league) and they turn the ball over 14.1 times per contest. Minnesota has accumulated 5,399 points on the season (120.0 per contest) and they collect 44.7 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Timberwolves are shooting 48.4% from the field, which is 4th in the league.

The Timberwolves on the defensive side of the court are 13th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 115.1. They are forcing 14.9 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.3% from the floor (8th in basketball). The Minnesota defense allows 35.8% on three-point shots (563 of 1,571) and their opponents are making 77.5% of their free throw attempts. They concede 26.0 assists and 43.1 rebounds every game, which ranks them 10th and 9th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Golden State

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