Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 4/17/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Friday, April 17, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+3.0)

Mortgage Matchup Center is the location where the Phoenix Suns (45-37) will go up against the Golden State Warriors (37-45) on Friday in the Western Conference 8th seed game. Golden State opens this game as 3.0-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 219.

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Golden State heads into this one with a win-loss mark of 37-45 this year. They average 114.6 points per game (22nd in the league) while shooting 46.1% from the field. The Warriors are shooting 35.6% on three-point attempts (1,286 of 3,616) and 80.7% from the free throw line. As a unit, Golden State is pulling down 42.3 rebounds per game and has earned 2,369 assists for the campaign, which is 6th in the NBA in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 15.7 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 19.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Warriors are able to force 15.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.6 personal fouls. They currently rank 17th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,220 conceded on the year. The Warriors defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 48.0% (3,474 of 7,240) and they relinquish 44.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are surrendering 36.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 14th in the league in PPG allowed (115.2).

Phoenix has a mark of 45-37 for the campaign. When it comes to offensive execution, the Suns are connecting on 45.5% from the floor, which ranks 28th in basketball. Phoenix has scored 9,232 pts for the campaign (112.6 per game) and they grab 43.1 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 24.6 times per game (28th in basketball) and they turn it over 14.5 times per contest. The Suns have committed 20.6 fouls per game and they connect on 78.1% from the free throw line.

The Suns on the defensive end are ranked 6th in the league in points allowed per game with 111.1. They have forced 16.3 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 47.0% from the floor (15th in the league). The Phoenix defense allows 34.7% on 3-point shots (998 of 2,876) and their opponents are connecting on 78.5% of their free throw attempts. They give up 25.1 assists and 43.7 rebounds every game, which ranks them 7th and 15th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (-3.0)

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