Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 3/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: ESPN

The Houston Rockets (39-24) are headed to Ball Arena on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Denver Nuggets (39-26).

The Rockets played the Spurs and went home with a loss by a final score of 145-120 in their last contest. Houston ended having earned a 48.3% FG percentage (42 out of 87) and made 8 of 28 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Rockets converted 28 of 32 attempts for a rate of 87.5%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they collected 37 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 25 dimes for the contest while forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In terms of defense, Houston allowed the other team to shoot 58.0% from the field on 51 out of 88 shooting. San Antonio earned 38 assists and had 4 steals for the matchup. On top of that, San Antonio grabbed 32 boards (6 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 5 rejections. San Antonio went 81.5% from the charity stripe by converting 22 of 27 attempts. They knocked down 21 of 40 attempts from beyond the perimeter. In the matter of personal fouls, the Rockets ended up finishing with 23 and the Spurs had 26 personal fouls.

Kevin Durant is a guy who was a factor for this contest. Durant walked away from this one shooting 58.3% from the floor and recorded 4 assists. He was on the hardwood for 33 mins and snagged 5 rebounds. He left the arena with 23 points on 7 of 12 shooting.

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Houston will enter this contest with a record of 39-24 so far this year. They average 114.6 points per contest (20th in basketball) while hitting 47.6% from the field. The Rockets are connecting on 36.8% on shots from beyond the arc (712 of 1,936) and 76.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Houston is grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game and has totaled 1,559 assists so far this year, which ranks 29th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 15.6 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.6 fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Rockets are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game while drawing 20.0 fouls. They concede 35.1% on 3-point attempts and they are 4th in the league in points per game from their opponents (109.9). The Rockets are allowing a shooting percentage of 45.8% (2,545 of 5,558) and they concede 39.7 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 2nd in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,546 relinquished on the year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Nuggets went home defeated by a final of 129-126 when they faced the Thunder. The Nuggets were able to snag 40 defensive boards and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 56 for this contest. They coughed up the ball 8 times, while earning 3 steals in this matchup. The Thunder had 20 personal fouls for the game which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for 29 tries. They were able to knock down 21 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 72.4%. With regard to shooting from beyond the arc, Denver knocked down 15 out of their 37 attempts (40.5%). At the conclusion of this game, the Nuggets finished 45 for 98 from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.9%. The Nuggets permitted the Thunder to convert 47 out of 93 tries from the field which had them shooting 50.5% in this contest. They wrapped up this game 40.4% from three-point range by going 19 out of 47 and ended up shooting 16 of 21 at the free throw line (76.2%). In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Denver allowed Oklahoma City to get 37 overall (3 offensive).

Nikola Jokic ended up being a major contributor for the Nuggets in this matchup. He buried 12 of 19 for this game for a rate of 63.2%, and had 14 rebounds. Jokic accumulated 32 points in his 40 minutes of playing time and added 13 assists for this contest.

Denver has a win-loss record of 39-26 so far this year. The Nuggets commit 19.0 fouls every game and they go 80.6% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 28.0 times per game (9th in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.0 times per game. Denver has totaled 7,817 points on the season (120.3 per game) and they grab 43.2 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, the Nuggets are shooting 49.2% from the floor, which is 2nd in the league.

The Nuggets defensively are ranked 20th in the NBA in points given up per game with 116.6. They are forcing their opponents into 12.0 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 47.1% from the field (17th in the NBA). The Denver defense gives up 35.4% on shots from beyond the arc (879 of 2,483) and their opponents are making 77.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 27.2 assists and 42.6 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 19th and 8th in basketball.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Denver and under the total points

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