Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 3/25/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPN

The Minnesota Timberwolves (44-28) will take on the Houston Rockets (43-27) at Target Center on Wednesday.

The Rockets faced the Heat and notched a win by a score of 123-122 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Rockets walked away with 14 and the Heat racked up 19 fouls. They buried 16 out of their 41 tries from beyond the perimeter. Miami finished 75.0% from the free throw line by converting 12 of 16 attempts. In addition, Miami pulled down 49 boards (13 offensive, 36 defensive) and had 2 blocked shots. Miami earned 33 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. Pertaining to the defense, Houston allowed the other team to shoot 51.1% from the floor on 47 out of 92 shooting. They also dished out 38 assists for the game as well as forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and having 5 steals. With respect to rebounding, they collected a total of 26 with 4 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Rockets knocked down 17 of their 21 attempts for a rate of 81.0%. Houston walked away from the game with a 52.3% field goal percentage (45 of 86) and buried 16 of their 35 shots from distance.

Kevin Durant is a player who came through for this game. He ended up walking away with 27 points on 9 out of 17 shooting. He saw the court for 37 minutes played and pulled down 3 rebounds. Durant went 52.9% from the floor and recorded 3 assists.

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Houston enters this game with a win-loss record of 43-27 for the season. They cough up possession 15.7 times per contest and as a team they are committing 18.5 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Houston is snagging 48.0 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 1,743 assists this season, which has them ranked 28th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Rockets are hitting 36.4% on shots from distance (786 of 2,157) and 75.9% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 114.0 points per outing (21st in the NBA) on 47.6% from the floor.

Defensively, the Rockets are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game and they draw 20.0 personal fouls. They are surrendering 35.2% on shots from downtown and they are 4th in the league in points per game allowed (109.9). The Rockets defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.1% (2,830 of 6,144) and they concede 39.5 rebounds per game as a team. They rank 3rd in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,722 relinquished so far this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Timberwolves walked away with a victory by a final of 102-92 when they played the Celtics. In the matter of rebounds, Minnesota allowed Boston to pull down 51 in total (17 on the offensive glass). They went 27.3% from distance by connecting on 9 of 33 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 18 at the free throw line (83.3%). The Timberwolves permitted the Celtics to convert 34 of their 95 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 35.8% in the matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Timberwolves ended up shooting 39 for 91 from the field which gave them a rate of 42.9%. When it comes to shots from beyond the perimeter, Minnesota knocked down 12 of their 33 tries (36.4%). They were able to convert 12 of them for a clip of 80.0%. The Celtics committed 18 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Timberwolves to the charity stripe for a total of 15 tries. They turned it over 7 times, while recording 7 steals for the game. The Timberwolves were able to snag 18 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 25 in the matchup.

Bones Hyland ended up being important for the Timberwolves for this contest. He converted 8 of 14 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and had 3 rebounds. Hyland earned 23 points in his 29 mins on the court and had 3 assists in the game.

Minnesota has a mark of 44-28 so far this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Timberwolves are connecting on 48.4% from the field, which is 4th in basketball. Minnesota has scored 8,524 points so far this year (118.4 per game) and they collect 44.6 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 26.2 times per contest (16th in the league) and they are giving up possession 14.9 times per contest. The Timberwolves are committing 21.2 fouls per contest and they go 75.1% from the free throw line.

The Minnesota defense concedes 35.7% on 3-point shots (896 of 2,513) and opponents are making 77.8% of their foul shots. They concede 25.9 assists and 43.2 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 9th and 10th in the NBA. The Timberwolves defensively are ranked 12th in the NBA in PPG given up with 114.5. They are able to force 14.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the floor (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota

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