Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 2/7/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: ABC

The Oklahoma City Thunder (40-12) will try to beat the Houston Rockets (31-18) at Paycom Center on Saturday.

The Rockets stepped onto the hardwood against the Celtics and took a loss by a final of 114-93 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Rockets finished with 17 while the Celtics finished the game with 18 personal fouls. They made 19 of their 51 shots from distance. Boston ended up going 85.0% from the free throw line by converting 17 of their 20 attempts. Additionally, Boston had 57 rebounds (20 offensive, 37 defensive) and had 5 blocked shots. Boston dished out 26 dimes and had 6 steals in this contest. When it comes to defending, Houston allowed 43.3% from the floor on 39 of 90 shooting. They also distributed 16 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing 15 turnovers and getting 10 steals. When discussing rebounding, they earned 38 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Rockets made 14 of 22 tries for a percentage of 63.6%. Houston wrapped up the contest having earned a 41.5% field goal percentage (34 of 82) and knocked down 11 of their 30 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Kevin Durant is someone who was a major factor in this matchup. He ended up scoring 15 points on 4 out of 11 shooting. He played 33 mins and grabbed 5 rebounds. Durant shot 36.4% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Houston will enter this matchup with a record of 31-18 for the campaign. They lose possession by turning the ball over 15.2 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.7 fouls every game. As a team, Houston is grabbing 49.1 boards per contest and has accounted for 1,215 assists for the campaign, which ranks 29th in basketball in terms of passing. The Rockets are shooting 36.9% on three-point attempts (551 of 1,493) and 75.3% from the free throw line. They average 115.5 points per outing (17th in the league) while hitting 47.2% from the floor.

On defense, the Rockets have forced 13.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.6 personal fouls. They rank 2nd in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,205 relinquished for the year. The Rockets are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.0% (1,991 of 4,330) and they relinquish 39.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They give up 34.8% from 3-point land while they are 4th in basketball in PPG allowed (110.1).

For their last game, the Thunder went home defeated by a final of 116-106 when they played the Spurs. The Thunder collected 37 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 46 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while earning 10 steals for the game. The Spurs earned 15 personal fouls for the contest which took the Thunder to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They were able to make 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 92.9%. In the matter of 3-pointers, Oklahoma City converted 19 out of 47 tries (40.4%). In all, the Thunder shot 37 out of 93 from the floor which had them shooting 39.8%. The Thunder permitted the Spurs to bury 45 out of 101 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 44.6% in this contest. They finished shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc by shooting 14 out of 42 and finished the game at 12 of 20 from the free throw line (60.0%). With respect to rebounding, Oklahoma City allowed San Antonio to get 63 in total (18 on the offensive side).

Kenrich Williams pitched in for the Thunder for this contest. Williams racked up 25 points in his 35 mins of playing time and had 2 assists in this contest. He made 9 out of 18 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and accounted for 9 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a record of 40-12 on the campaign. The Thunder commit 19.8 personal fouls per game and they go 82.6% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 25.6 times per contest (18th in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.3 times per game. Oklahoma City has 6,249 pts so far this season (120.2 per game) and they grab 43.7 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Thunder are hitting on 48.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 3rd in the league.

The Oklahoma City defense allows 37.2% on shots from distance (751 of 2,019) and their opponents are connecting on 75.0% of their foul shots. They allow 24.9 dimes and 45.7 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 5th and 24th in the NBA. The Thunder are ranked 1st in the NBA in points given up per game with 107.9. They have forced 17.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (1st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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