Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 1/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Golden 1 Center is where the Sacramento Kings (8-29) will compete against the Houston Rockets (22-12) on Sunday.

The Rockets faced off with the Trail Blazers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 103-102 in their last contest. In the matter of fouls, the Rockets ended up walking away with 26 and the Trail Blazers totaled 21 fouls. They converted 12 of their 40 shots from downtown. Portland finished 76.0% when shooting free throws by burying 19 of 25 attempts. Moreover, Portland collected 38 boards (6 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 7 blocks. Portland distributed 21 dimes and had 7 steals in this contest. Pertaining to defending, Houston allowed 43.4% from the field on 36 out of 83 shooting. They also recorded 20 dimes for the contest as well as forcing 14 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When talking about rebounding, they compiled 57 with 24 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Rockets buried 20 of their 29 shots for a rate of 69.0%. Houston walked away from the game with a 37.4% field goal percentage (37 out of 99) and buried 8 of their 36 shots from beyond the arc.

Kevin Durant is one player who was a major factor for the game. He left the arena with 37 points on 14 of 26 shooting. He played 37 mins and also collected 4 rebounds. Durant walked away from this one shooting 53.8% from the floor but finished the game without an assist.

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Houston enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 22-12 for the season. They turn the ball over 16.0 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 19.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Houston is collecting 49.1 boards per game and has 861 assists this season, which is 28th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Rockets are connecting on 38.2% on shots from downtown (399 of 1,045) and 77.5% from the charity stripe. They average 118.9 pts per game (9th in the NBA) while going 48.5% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Rockets are forcing 13.8 turnovers every game while drawing 21.2 fouls. They are 1st in the league in giving up assists with 819 conceded on the year. The Rockets defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.3% (1,377 of 2,972) and they surrender 37.6 rebounds per game as a unit. They give up 35.5% on 3-point attempts while they are 3rd in the league in points per game allowed (110.7).

When they last played, the Kings took a loss by a score of 100-98 when they faced the Mavericks. When talking about rebounding, Sacramento allowed Dallas to get 55 overall (15 on the offensive side). They finished 29.6% from 3-point land by shooting 8 out of 27 and finished the game at 14 of 21 from the free throw line (66.7%). The Kings permitted the Mavericks to convert 39 of their 96 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.6% for this game. When the game finished, the Kings walked away from this one shooting 39 out of 92 from the field which had them at 42.4%. Regarding three-point shots, Sacramento buried 9 out of 31 tries (29.0%). They were able to make 11 of those for a percentage of 64.7%. The Mavericks earned 12 fouls in this game which got the Kings to the free throw line for 17 shots. They turned the ball over 13 times, while recording 11 steals in this game. The Kings were able to corral 35 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 43 for this game.

DeMar DeRozan was important for the Kings for the matchup. DeRozan totaled 21 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and had 5 assists in this game. He knocked down 8 out of 18 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 44.4%, and added 2 rebounds.

Sacramento has a record of 8-29 so far this season. The Kings are committing 20.5 fouls every game and they connect on 75.8% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 25.0 times per contest (24th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.3 times per contest. Sacramento has accounted for 4,068 points for the campaign (109.9 per game) and they average 40.7 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Kings are hitting on 45.8% from the field, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA.

The Kings defensively are ranked 27th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 121.6. They are able to force 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 49.5% from the floor (30th in basketball). The Sacramento defense allows 35.6% on three-point shots (473 of 1,329) and opponents are connecting on 77.9% of their free throw attempts. They allow 27.7 assists and 46.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 25th and 26th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sacramento

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