Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 10/23/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Friday, October 23, 2026

Location: Moody Center in Austin, TX 

TV: DAZN

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+6.5)

The San Antonio Spurs (62-20 last season) will take on the Houston Rockets (52-30 last year) at Moody Center on Friday. San Antonio opens this game as 6.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 226.5.

The Rockets stepped onto the hardwood against the Mavericks and went home with a win by a final score of 128-110 in their last game. Houston walked away from the game with a 53.4% FG percentage (47 of 88) and made 16 of their 36 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Rockets knocked down 18 of 25 tries for a percentage of 72.0%. With regard to getting rebounds, they compiled 42 with 17 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 32 assists for the game while forcing 21 turnovers and earning 11 steals. With regard to the defense, Houston allowed the other team to go 51.9% from the floor on 41 out of 79 shooting. Dallas recorded 20 assists and had 12 steals for the game. Moreover, Dallas snagged 33 rebounds (8 offensive, 25 defensive) and had 2 blocks. Dallas finished the game shooting 65.4% when shooting free throws by burying 17 of their 26 attempts. They made 11 out of their 37 attempts from 3-point land. Concerning fouls, the Rockets finished with 20 and the Mavericks had 23 fouls.

Kevin Durant is a guy who played a role in this contest. He ended up walking away with 30 points on 10 out of 16 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 37 mins played and totaled 6 boards. Durant ended up shooting 62.5% from the field and recorded 3 dimes.

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Houston steps onto the hardwood after finishing with a win-loss record of 52-30 last season. They lost possession via turnover 15.4 times per game and as a team committed 18.3 fouls every game. As a group, Houston pulled down 48.1 boards per game and tallied 2,083 assists throughout last season, which was 21st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Rockets connected on 36.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (940 of 2,580) and 76.3% from the free throw line. They had an average of 115.2 points per contest (18th in basketball) while hitting 47.9% from the floor.

When they were on defense, the Rockets forced their opponents into 13.4 turnovers per game and they drew 20.0 fouls. They relinquished 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc and they were 4th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (110.0). The Rockets gave up a shooting percentage of 46.0% (3,320 of 7,217) and they relinquished 39.5 boards per contest as a group. They were ranked 3rd in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,011 surrendered over the course of last year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Spurs took a loss by a final score of 116-104 when they faced the Thunder. The Spurs were able to collect 35 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 45 for this contest. They also turned it over 14 times, while getting 6 steals for this game. The Thunder committed 22 personal fouls in this contest which got the Spurs to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They were able to bury 22 of those for a clip of 88.0%. In the matter of shooting from beyond the arc, San Antonio made 10 out of 37 attempts (27.0%). Overall, the Spurs ended up shooting 36 for 93 from the floor which had them at 38.7%. The Spurs allowed the Thunder to convert 43 out of their 95 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.3% in this matchup. They finished the game shooting 45.2% from beyond the arc by hitting 14 out of 31 and finished the contest at 16 out of 20 at the free throw line (80.0%). Regarding rebounding, San Antonio permitted Oklahoma City to snag 4 in total (10 on the offensive side).

Stephon Castle ended up being important for the Spurs for the contest. Castle scored 24 points in his 28 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 1 assist for the contest. He buried 9 out of 21 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 42.9%, and accounted for 7 rebounds.

San Antonio had a win-loss mark of 62-20 last year. As an offense, the Spurs hit 48.3% from the floor, which was ranked 6th in basketball. San Antonio accounted for 9,826 pts throughout last year (119.8 per game) and they collected 47.0 boards per game. They earned an assist 28.1 times per contest (9th in the league) and they turned it over 13.5 times per contest. The Spurs committed 18.9 fouls every game and they connected on 78.7% from the charity stripe.

The San Antonio defense conceded 35.2% on 3-pointers (1,066 of 3,028) and their opponents converted on 79.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrendered 26.2 dimes and 42.6 boards per game, which ranked them 12th and 8th in those defensive categories. The Spurs were ranked 8th in the league in points per game surrendered with 111.5. They forced their opponents into 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and let teams shoot 45.1% from the field (4th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Antonio (-6.5)

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