Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 2/27/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Friday, February 27, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks (21-36) are hosting the Memphis Grizzlies (21-35) at American Airlines Center on Friday.

The Grizzlies played the Kings and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 123-114 in their last game. Memphis finished having earned a 48.3% field goal percentage (42 of 87) and knocked down 12 out of their 34 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Grizzlies buried 18 of 20 tries for a percentage of 90.0%. With respect to grabbing boards, they earned 37 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 33 assists for the game in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and having 13 steals. In regard to the defense, Memphis allowed their opponent to shoot 50.0% from the field on 47 out of 94 shooting. Sacramento distributed 30 assists and had 12 steals in this game. Moreover, Sacramento snagged 45 rebounds (13 offensive, 32 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Sacramento finished the game shooting 76.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 19 of 25 tries. They knocked down 10 of 29 shots from beyond the arc. When discussing fouls, the Grizzlies left the arena with 18 while the Kings racked up 15 fouls.

Javon Small is one guy who came through for the game. He scored 21 points on 6 of 8 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 25 minutes and also collected 6 rebounds. Small went 75.0% from the floor and totaled 9 assists.

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Memphis will take the court with a win-loss mark of 21-35 for the year. They are losing possession via turnover 15.2 times per contest and as a group they are committing 20.0 fouls per contest. As a unit, Memphis is pulling in 44.7 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,613 dimes on the year, which ranks 9th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Grizzlies are shooting 35.1% on shots from distance (752 of 2,144) and 79.3% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 115.5 points per outing (17th in the league) while connecting on 45.9% from the field.

On defense, the Grizzlies are able to force 15.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.2 personal fouls. They currently rank 12th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,532 surrendered so far this year. The Grizzlies defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 47.1% (2,405 of 5,111) and they relinquish 45.3 boards per game as a squad. They are surrendering 36.1% on 3-pointers while they are 22nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (117.8).

The last time they took the court, the Mavericks walked away with a victory by a final of 123-114 against the Nets. When discussing attacking the glass, Dallas allowed Brooklyn to pull down 28 in all (5 on the offensive side). They went 40.6% from three-point range by hitting 13 of 32 and finished the contest at 19 of 27 from the charity stripe (70.4%). The Mavericks allowed the Nets to knock down 41 of 80 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 51.3% for this game. When all was said and done, the Mavericks ended up shooting 48 out of 82 from the field which had them sitting at 58.5%. In relation to shooting from distance, Dallas made 8 out of 23 tries (34.8%). They were able to convert 19 of the free throw tries for a rate of 79.2%. The Nets committed 21 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 24 attempts. They also turned it over 16 times, while recording 5 steals for this game. The Mavericks were able to snag 34 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 44 in the game.

Marvin Bagley III ended up being important for the Mavericks for this game. Bagley earned 22 points in his 20 minutes on the court and accounted for 1 assist in the game. He made 10 out of 13 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 76.9%, and accumulated 5 rebounds.

Dallas has a record of 21-36 for the season. As an offense, the Mavericks are shooting 47.3% from the floor, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Dallas has scored 6,521 points so far this year (114.4 per contest) and they collect 44.7 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 25.1 times per game (23rd in the NBA) and they turn it over 14.6 times per contest. The Mavericks are committing 18.4 personal fouls every game and they hit 74.5% from the charity stripe.

The Dallas defense surrenders 34.3% on 3-pointers (704 of 2,055) and their opposition knocks down 77.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 27.5 dimes and 46.7 boards every game, which is ranked 24th and 27th in the league. The Mavericks on defense are ranked 21st in basketball in points given up per game with 117.6. They are able to force 13.6 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.8% from the floor (14th in basketball).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Dallas and under the total points

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