Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 2/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: ESPN

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) are headed to Ball Arena on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Denver Nuggets (34-20).

The Grizzlies faced the Trail Blazers and ended up losing by a score of 122-115 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Grizzlies ended up with 15 while the Trail Blazers finished the game with 21 fouls. They buried 21 of 51 attempts from beyond the arc. Portland ended up going 64.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 9 of their 14 attempts. Furthermore, Portland pulled down 48 boards (14 offensive, 34 defensive) and added 6 blocks. Portland earned 30 assists and had 7 steals in the matchup. In reference to the defense, Memphis allowed their opponent to shoot 48.4% from the field on 46 out of 95 shooting. They also dished out 19 assists for the game while forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and earning 14 steals. When talking about rebounding, they collected 36 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Grizzlies converted 15 of their 21 tries for a percentage of 71.4%. Memphis wrapped up the game with a 50.0% FG percentage (42 of 84) and converted 16 of their 38 shots from beyond the arc.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper is one guy who was a major contributor for the matchup. He ended up finishing with 25 points on 9 out of 13 shooting. He played 25 mins and also collected 5 rebounds. Prosper ended up shooting 69.2% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out.

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Memphis enters this contest with a record of 20-32 so far this year. They are averaging 115.3 points per game (17th in basketball) on 45.8% from the floor. The Grizzlies are shooting 35.0% on three-point shots (698 of 1,995) and 79.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Memphis is snagging 45.3 rebounds per game and has 1,492 assists for the year, which has them ranked 9th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 15.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 19.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Grizzlies have forced 14.9 turnovers every game while drawing 20.3 fouls. They give up 36.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 22nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (117.4). The Grizzlies defensively are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.8% (2,220 of 4,748) and they relinquish 45.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are 14th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,409 surrendered this season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Nuggets went home victorious with a score of 136-120 against the Bulls. The Nuggets recorded 30 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards totaling 41 for the matchup. They turned it over 14 times, while recording 7 steals in this contest. The Bulls had 24 fouls for the matchup which got the Nuggets to the free throw line for a total of 33 attempts. They were able to bury 22 of the free throws for a rate of 66.7%. Pertaining to shots from 3-point land, Denver made 16 out of 33 tries (48.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Nuggets went 49 for 85 from the field which gave them a percentage of 57.6%. The Nuggets allowed the Bulls to knock down 41 out of 92 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.6% in the matchup. They went 39.2% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 20 of 51 and finished the game at 18 out of 20 from the free throw line (90.0%). With respect to rebounds, Denver allowed Chicago to grab 37 in all (12 offensive).

Jamal Murray pitched in for the Nuggets in the matchup. Murray recorded 28 points in his 31 minutes on the court and accounted for 11 assists in the matchup. He made 11 of 18 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 61.1%, and had 3 rebounds.

Denver has a mark of 34-20 on the season. As an offense, the Nuggets are shooting 49.4% from the floor, which ranks them 2nd in basketball. Denver has accumulated 6,498 pts so far this season (120.3 per contest) and they pull in 42.6 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 28.0 times per game (9th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 12.7 times per contest. The Nuggets are responsible for committing 19.0 personal fouls every game and they go 81.0% from the free throw line.

The Nuggets on the defensive side of the court are 19th in the league in points allowed per contest with 116.4. They are able to force 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.8% from the field (15th in the league). The Denver defense allows 35.1% on 3-pointers (719 of 2,047) and their opposition knocks down 77.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 26.6 assists and 42.9 rebounds per game, which is 13th and 9th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Memphis

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