Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 2/20/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Friday, February 20, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Miami Heat (29-27) are headed to State Farm Arena on Friday where they will go up against the Atlanta Hawks (26-30).

The Heat faced off with the Pelicans and took home the win by a score of 123-111 in their last contest. Miami walked away from the contest with a 41.2% FG percentage (42 of 102) and made 14 of their 47 three-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Heat made 25 of 33 shots for a percentage of 75.8%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned 56 with 18 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 25 assists in this contest while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Concerning defending, Miami allowed 45.7% from the floor on 42 of 92 shooting. New Orleans earned 27 assists and had 5 steals in the game. Additionally, New Orleans pulled down 46 rebounds (8 offensive, 38 defensive) and added 9 blocked shots. New Orleans ended up going 84.2% from the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 19 shots. They buried 11 out of their 31 attempts from long range. When talking about personal fouls, the Heat ended up with 15 while the Pelicans finished the game with 23 personal fouls.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who was a contributor for this contest. He scored 27 points on 6 of 19 shooting. He played for 37 mins played and also totaled 14 rebounds. Adebayo ended up going 31.6% from the floor and dished out 4 dimes.

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Miami will enter this contest with a mark of 29-27 on the season. They currently have an average of 119.6 points per outing (5th in basketball) while hitting 46.1% from the field. The Heat are hitting 36.0% on three-point shots (752 of 2,087) and 78.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is snagging 46.9 rebounds per game and has racked up 1,600 dimes this year, which is 5th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 14.2 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.9 fouls every game.

On defense, the Heat are forcing 15.7 turnovers every game while drawing 20.2 fouls. They rank 24th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,515 surrendered on the year. The Heat defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.8% (2,393 of 5,223) and they concede 47.4 boards per contest as a team. They concede 34.7% on three-point shots and they are 20th in the league in points per game allowed (117.2).

In their last game, the Hawks took a defeat with a final score of 110-107 when they faced the Hornets. With respect to rebounds, Atlanta permitted Charlotte to pull down 50 overall (15 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 37.3% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 19 out of 51 and ended up going 25 of 29 from the free throw line (86.2%). The Hawks allowed the Hornets to knock down 33 out of 88 tries from the field which had them at 37.5% in this matchup. When the game finished, the Hawks finished shooting 37 for 84 from the field which had them shooting 44.0%. In terms of three-point shots, Atlanta converted 10 of their 36 tries (27.8%). They were able to knock down 23 of the free throws for a percentage of 76.7%. The Hornets were called for 23 personal fouls for this game which got the Hawks to the charity stripe for a total of 30 tries. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while recording 8 steals for the contest. The Hawks pulled down 33 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 41 in the matchup.

Dyson Daniels ended up having an impact for the Hawks for the game. He converted 9 out of 12 in this matchup giving him a rate of 75.0%, and had 3 rebounds. Daniels earned 21 points in his 25 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 4 dimes for the matchup.

Atlanta has a record of 26-30 on the campaign. As an offensive unit, the Hawks are hitting on 47.2% from the floor, which ranks them 11th in the league. Atlanta has accumulated 6,569 points for the season (117.3 per contest) and they pull in 42.2 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 30.5 times per contest (1st in basketball) and they turn it over 14.3 times per game. The Hawks are committing 19.9 personal fouls per contest and they go 77.4% from the free throw line.

The Atlanta defense surrenders 35.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (748 of 2,088) and their opponents are making 79.8% of their foul shots. They surrender 27.3 dimes and 46.8 total rebounds per game, which is 22nd and 26th in the league. The Hawks defensively are ranked 25th in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 118.6. They are forcing their opponents into 15.9 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.6% from the floor (21st in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta and under the total points

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