Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 2/6/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Date: Friday, February 6, 2026

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NBC Sports Boston

TD Garden is the location where the Boston Celtics (33-18) will take on the Miami Heat (27-25) on Friday.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Hawks and ended up losing by a score of 127-115 in their last game. When discussing fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 15 while the Hawks finished the game with 22 fouls. They also converted 21 of 50 attempts from three-point range. Atlanta went 61.5% when shooting free throws by converting 8 of 13 shots. Additionally, Atlanta collected 47 rebounds (8 offensive, 39 defensive) and added 1 block. Atlanta recorded 34 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. In regard to defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 48.5% from the field on 49 out of 101 shooting. They also doled out 25 dimes for this game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When talking about grabbing boards, they earned 53 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Heat converted 23 of their 26 shots for a percentage of 88.5%. Miami finished the contest with a 43.8% FG percentage (42 out of 96) and converted 8 of their 32 three-point attempts.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is one player who came through for this contest. Jacquez walked away from this one shooting 52.9% from the floor and also distributed 3 assists. He played 28 minutes played and snagged 8 rebounds. He recorded 21 points on 9 out of 17 shooting.

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Miami enters this matchup with a mark of 27-25 for the year. They have an average of 119.9 pts per contest (3rd in the NBA) while hitting 46.4% from the field. The Heat are hitting 36.1% on shots from distance (689 of 1,908) and 79.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is snagging 46.6 boards per game and is sitting with 1,494 assists for the year, which has them ranked 5th in the league in terms of passing. They turn it over 14.3 times per game and as a group they commit 18.9 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Heat are forcing 15.8 turnovers every game and they draw 20.3 fouls. They are surrendering 35.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 22nd in the NBA in points per game allowed (118.0). The Heat defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 46.0% (2,238 of 4,862) and they surrender 47.3 boards per game as a group. They are 25th in basketball in allowing assists with 1,419 surrendered this year.

When they last played, the Celtics went home victorious with a score of 114-93 when they faced the Rockets. The Celtics were able to corral 37 defensive boards and 20 offensive rebounds totaling 57 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while earning 6 steals for the contest. The Rockets earned 17 fouls in this game which took the Celtics to the free throw line for a total of 20 shots. They were able to make 17 of the free throws for a clip of 85.0%. With regard to 3-point shots, Boston converted 19 of 51 tries (37.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Celtics finished shooting 39 for 90 from the field which had them shooting 43.3%. The Celtics permitted the Rockets to make 34 of their 82 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.5% for the contest. They finished 36.7% from behind the 3-point line via 11 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 14 out of 22 at the free throw line (63.6%). Regarding team rebounding, Boston allowed Houston to grab 38 overall (12 offensive).

Derrick White was important for the Celtics for this contest. White accumulated 28 points in his 37 minutes of playing time and had 8 dimes in the matchup. He converted 10 of 25 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and had 1 rebound.

Boston has a record of 33-18 this year. The Celtics commit 20.0 fouls every game and they hit 79.1% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 24.0 times per contest (29th in the league) and they are turning it over 12.0 times per game. Boston has scored 5,913 points this season (115.9 per contest) and they pull in 45.3 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Celtics are shooting 46.9% from the floor, which ranks them 16th in basketball.

The Boston defense gives up 36.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (715 of 1,981) and their opposition knocks down 79.0% of their free throw shots. They allow 25.1 assists and 42.3 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 7th and 7th in the league. The Celtics defensively are ranked 2nd in the NBA in points allowed per game with 108.6. They are able to force 13.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 44.3% from the field (3rd in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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