Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, 3/6/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets

Date: Friday, March 6, 2026

Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Charlotte Hornets (32-31) will play the Miami Heat (33-29) at Spectrum Center on Friday.

The Heat took the court against the Nets and earned the victory with a final of 124-98 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Heat finished with 19 and the Nets totaled 19 fouls. They knocked down 6 of 32 tries from distance. Brooklyn finished the game at 86.7% from the charity stripe by making 26 of 30 shots. On top of that, Brooklyn had 38 boards (10 offensive, 28 defensive) and got 8 blocked shots. Brooklyn dished out 24 dimes and had 6 steals for this contest. When talking about defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 38.4% from the floor on 33 of 86 shooting. They also recorded 28 assists for this contest in addition to creating 19 turnovers and having 13 steals. In the matter of hauling in rebounds, they earned 46 with 14 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Heat converted 21 of 24 tries for a rate of 87.5%. Miami finished the game with a 49.5% FG percentage (45 of 91) and buried 13 of their 36 shots from downtown.

Bam Adebayo is a player who was a factor for the game. Adebayo shot 45.8% from the field and dished out 4 assists. He played 35 minutes played and also collected 9 rebounds. He totaled 23 points on 11 out of 24 shooting.

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Miami will take the court with a win-loss mark of 33-29 so far this season. They are giving up possession 14.1 times per game and as a squad they commit 18.9 personal fouls every game. As a team, Miami is snagging 47.2 boards per contest and is sitting with 1,774 assists on the season, which has them ranked 6th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are shooting 36.1% on shots from distance (835 of 2,313) and 78.6% from the free throw line. They average 119.9 points per contest (2nd in the league) on 46.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Heat are able to force 15.5 turnovers per game while drawing 20.1 fouls. They are currently ranked 17th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,673 relinquished this season. The Heat defense is giving up a FG percentage of 45.7% (2,641 of 5,785) and they relinquish 47.0 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 34.7% on 3-point shots and they are 20th in the league in points per game allowed (116.7).

In their last game, the Hornets walked away with a victory by a final of 118-89 when they played the Celtics. In relation to how they attacked the glass, Charlotte allowed Boston to snag 45 overall (9 on the offensive glass). They shot 27.8% from 3-point land by shooting 10 out of 36 and ended up shooting 19 of 20 at the free throw line (95.0%). The Hornets permitted the Celtics to make 30 of their 79 tries from the floor which had them at 38.0% for this game. Overall, the Hornets walked away from this one shooting 41 for 89 from the floor which had them shooting 46.1%. In terms of shooting from 3-point land, Charlotte converted 19 of their 49 attempts (38.8%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 81.0%. The Celtics had 14 fouls for this game which took the Hornets to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They turned the ball over 5 times, while recording 10 steals in the matchup. The Hornets were able to collect 32 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 43 in this game.

Kon Knueppel ended up being a factor for the Hornets for the contest. He converted 7 out of 14 in the game for a rate of 50.0%, and accumulated 4 rebounds. Knueppel had 20 points in his 31 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to earn an assist.

Charlotte has a win-loss mark of 32-31 on the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Hornets are connecting on 46.1% from the floor, which ranks 23rd in basketball. Charlotte has tallied 7,314 pts on the season (116.1 per game) and they average 46.3 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 26.6 times per game (13th in the league) and they are giving up possession 15.7 times per contest. The Hornets have committed 19.2 fouls every game and they shoot 81.7% from the free throw line.

The Charlotte defense allows 35.9% on shots from distance (804 of 2,239) and their opposition makes 80.2% of their free throw attempts. They concede 26.4 assists and 39.4 total boards per game, which ranks 13th and 1st in the league. The Hornets on the defensive side of the court are 10th in the league in PPG given up with 112.3. They are forcing 12.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.0% from the field (16th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Charlotte

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