Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 3/25/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Rocket Arena is the site where the Cleveland Cavaliers (44-27) will attempt to defeat the Miami Heat (38-33) on Wednesday.

The Heat played the Rockets and went home with a loss by a final score of 123-122 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Heat walked away with 17 and the Rockets totaled 21 fouls. They also buried 16 of their 35 attempts from long range. Houston finished shooting 81.0% at the charity stripe by making 17 of 21 attempts. Furthermore, Houston totaled 38 boards (12 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 4 rejections. Houston dished out 27 assists and had 7 steals in this matchup. Concerning the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 52.3% from the field on 45 of 86 shooting. They also recorded 20 assists for the matchup while forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they earned 42 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat made 12 of their 16 shots for a percentage of 75.0%. Miami ended the contest having earned a 51.1% FG percentage (47 out of 92) and converted 16 of 41 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Bam Adebayo is a guy who had an impact in this contest. Adebayo finished the game at 57.1% from the field and earned 4 dimes. He played 45 minutes and also totaled 21 rebounds. He ended up walking away with 32 points on 12 of 21 shooting.

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Miami comes into this matchup with a mark of 38-33 this year. They are averaging 120.3 points per game (2nd in the NBA) while connecting on 46.5% from the floor. The Heat are connecting on 35.8% from downtown (948 of 2,648) and 79.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is pulling down 46.8 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,035 assists this season, which is 5th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 13.8 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.0 fouls every game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat are forcing their opponents into 15.6 turnovers per game while drawing 20.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 18th in the league in allowing assists with 1,918 relinquished on the campaign. The Heat are giving up a FG percentage of 46.0% (3,033 of 6,590) and they surrender 46.6 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They surrender 35.1% on 3-point shots and they are 21st in basketball in opponents points per game (117.2).

The last time they took the court, the Cavaliers took home the win by a final score of 111-106 against the Pelicans. When it comes to rebounding, Cleveland allowed New Orleans to collect 40 overall (6 offensive). They shot 30.0% from distance by connecting on 12 out of 40 and walked away from this one shooting 16 of 20 at the free throw line (80.0%). The Cavaliers permitted the Pelicans to make 39 of their 90 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.3% in this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Cavaliers ended up going 42 for 88 from the field which had them shooting 47.7%. Pertaining to shooting from beyond the arc, Cleveland converted 12 of their 39 attempts (30.8%). They were able to make 15 of them for a percentage of 68.2%. The Pelicans were called for 22 fouls for the contest which took the Cavaliers to the free throw line for 22 attempts. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 5 steals for this contest. The Cavaliers recorded 30 defensive boards and 17 offensive boards totaling 47 in the matchup.

Donovan Mitchell was important for the Cavaliers in this game. Mitchell accumulated 27 points in his 39 mins on the hardwood and had 3 dimes for the game. He made 9 of 23 in this matchup for a rate of 39.1%, and had 7 rebounds.

Cleveland has a record of 44-27 this year. The Cavaliers are responsible for committing 19.8 fouls per contest and they connect on 77.2% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 28.3 times per game (9th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 14.1 times per contest. Cleveland has totaled 8,447 points so far this year (119.0 per contest) and they collect 44.5 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Cavaliers are shooting 47.7% from the floor, which ranks them 9th in the league.

The Cleveland defense gives up 36.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (984 of 2,671) and opponents are converting on 79.0% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 26.8 dimes and 43.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 17th and 14th in the league. The Cavaliers on the defensive end are ranked 14th in the league in PPG allowed with 114.7. They are forcing their opponents into 15.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.3% from the floor (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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