Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 3/27/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Friday, March 27, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Cleveland Cavaliers (45-28) will try to defeat the Miami Heat (39-34) at Rocket Arena on Friday.

The Heat played the Cavaliers and notched a win by a score of 120-103 in their last game. Miami ended the game having earned a 51.9% field goal percentage (42 out of 81) and knocked down 18 of their 45 three-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Heat converted 18 of their 22 attempts for a rate of 81.8%. In regard to pulling down boards, they compiled a total of 34 with 13 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 22 assists in the game in addition to creating 21 turnovers and having 12 steals. In relation to the defense, Miami allowed 43.2% from the floor on 35 out of 81 shooting. Cleveland distributed 30 assists and had 11 steals for this game. In addition, Cleveland collected 54 rebounds (15 offensive, 39 defensive) and got 3 blocks. Cleveland finished the game shooting 87.5% at the free throw line by making 21 of 24 tries. They also converted 12 of 37 attempts from beyond the perimeter. When it comes to fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 25 and the Cavaliers recorded 13 fouls.

Norman Powell is a guy who was a contributor in this contest. He was able to score 19 points on 7 out of 12 shooting. He saw the court for 34 mins played and grabbed 4 rebounds. Powell finished the game at 58.3% from the floor and totaled 2 assists.

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Miami will enter this contest with a record of 39-34 this year. They currently have an average of 120.2 pts per contest (2nd in basketball) while connecting on 46.5% from the field. The Heat are connecting on 35.8% on shots from downtown (982 of 2,745) and 79.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is snagging 46.6 boards per contest and has earned 2,095 assists on the season, which has them ranked 5th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.8 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 19.0 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Heat are forcing 15.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.5 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 35.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 22nd in basketball in opponents PPG (117.3). The Heat are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.0% (3,116 of 6,772) and they relinquish 46.8 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They currently rank 18th in basketball in giving up assists with 1,977 surrendered for the season.

In their last game, the Cavaliers walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 120-103 against the Heat. The Cavaliers collected 32 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 42 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 4 times, while getting 3 steals in the game. The Heat had 27 fouls in the game which took the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for 24 tries. They were able to convert 21 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 87.5%. Regarding shots from downtown, Cleveland converted 12 of their 37 tries (32.4%). Overall, the Cavaliers walked away from this one shooting 35 out of 81 from the floor which had them at 43.2%. The Cavaliers allowed the Heat to convert 42 of 81 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 51.9% for the matchup. They finished the game shooting 40.0% from three-point range by connecting on 18 out of 45 and finished the contest at 18 out of 22 at the free throw line (81.8%). In relation to how they rebounded, Cleveland permitted Miami to collect 45 overall (5 offensive).

Donovan Mitchell ended up being important for the Cavaliers in the game. He converted 12 out of 22 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 54.5%, and had 6 rebounds. Mitchell accumulated 28 points in his 33 minutes on the court and earned 4 assists for this game.

Cleveland has a win-loss mark of 45-28 for the year. The Cavaliers commit 19.8 fouls per contest while shooting 77.5% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 28.2 times per game (8th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 14.0 times per game. Cleveland has 8,686 points this year (119.0 per contest) and they pull in 44.3 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Cavaliers are shooting 47.8% from the floor, which ranks them 8th in basketball.

The Cleveland defense gives up 36.9% on shots from 3-point land (1,016 of 2,755) and opponents are knocking down 79.3% of their free throw attempts. They allow 26.9 dimes and 43.5 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 17th and 14th in the league. The Cavaliers on defense are ranked 14th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 115.0. They are forcing 15.3 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.4% from the field (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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