Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 1/19/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Monday, January 19, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

The Golden State Warriors (23-19) host the Miami Heat (21-20) at Chase Center on Monday.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Celtics and took a loss by a score of 119-114 in their last contest. Concerning personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 20 while the Celtics totaled 22 personal fouls. They knocked down 13 of their 39 shots from beyond the arc. Boston ended up shooting 96.0% at the free throw line by making 24 of 25 tries. On top of that, Boston collected 51 rebounds (18 offensive, 33 defensive) and added 2 blocks. Boston recorded 22 assists and had 5 steals for the contest. In the matter of defense, Miami let their opponent shoot 45.1% from the floor on 41 of 91 shooting. They also doled out 25 assists for the game while forcing 13 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Concerning rebounding, they compiled 40 with 12 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Heat made 21 of 27 tries for a rate of 77.8%. Miami wrapped up the contest having earned a 44.8% field goal percentage (39 out of 87) and knocked down 15 of their 42 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Norman Powell is a guy who was important for the contest. Powell finished the game at 66.7% from the floor and totaled 2 dimes. He saw the court for 32 mins and snagged 3 boards. He ended up scoring 26 points on 10 out of 15 shooting.

Get all of our NBA Expert Picks

Miami comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 21-20 so far this year. They are averaging 119.4 pts per game (5th in the league) while shooting 47.0% from the floor. The Heat are shooting 36.8% on shots from distance (536 of 1,457) and 79.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Miami is pulling down 45.3 rebounds per game and has 1,167 dimes on the campaign, which is 7th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 14.5 times per game and as a team are committing 19.1 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Heat are forcing 16.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.4 fouls. They are giving up 34.3% from 3-point land while they are 22nd in basketball in opponents PPG (117.8). The Heat defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 45.9% (1,762 of 3,841) and they relinquish 47.5 boards per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 20th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,108 relinquished for the year.

When they last played, the Warriors walked away with a victory by a final of 126-113 against the Knicks. The Warriors snagged 28 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 38 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 7 steals for the matchup. The Knicks earned 14 personal fouls for this contest which took the Warriors to the free throw line for a total of 13 shots. They were able to knock down 10 of them for a clip of 76.9%. In regard to 3-pointers, Golden State knocked down 20 of their 45 attempts (44.4%). When all was said and done, the Warriors finished 48 out of 89 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.9%. The Warriors permitted the Knicks to bury 42 of 91 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 46.2% in this game. They finished 36.8% from 3-point land via 14 of 38 and ended up shooting 15 out of 19 from the charity stripe (78.9%). When talking about how they attacked the glass, Golden State permitted New York to pull down 41 overall (14 offensive).

Jimmy Butler ended up having an impact for the Warriors in this matchup. He made 14 of 22 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 63.6%, and had 8 rebounds. Butler tallied 32 points in his 32 minutes on the court and added 4 dimes for the contest.

Golden State has a win-loss mark of 23-19 for the campaign. The Warriors are committing 20.0 fouls every game and they connect on 82.1% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 28.4 times per game (9th in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.5 times per contest. Golden State has scored 4,862 points on the campaign (115.8 per contest) and they snag 43.2 boards per game. As an offense, the Warriors are shooting 45.9% from the floor, which ranks them 25th in the league.

The Warriors are ranked 8th in basketball in PPG given up with 113.2. They are able to force 15.5 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.1% from the field (18th in basketball). The Golden State defense allows 34.7% on 3-pointers (515 of 1,485) and opponents are making 79.2% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 26.2 assists and 44.3 rebounds per contest, ranking them 12th and 16th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.