Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 1/10/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Indiana Pacers (6-31) welcome the Miami Heat (20-17) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday.

The Heat faced the Timberwolves and took a loss by a final of 122-94 in their last contest. Concerning fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 20 and the Timberwolves had 23 fouls. They also converted 14 of their 39 attempts from downtown. Minnesota finished 78.3% at the free throw line by converting 18 of 23 tries. Additionally, Minnesota pulled down 63 boards (11 offensive, 52 defensive) and had 4 blocked shots. Minnesota doled out 27 assists and had 7 steals for the game. When discussing defense, Miami allowed the other team to go 45.9% from the field on 45 of 98 shooting. They also doled out 28 assists for this contest as well as forcing 12 turnovers and having 5 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 50 with 11 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Heat made 12 of 16 tries for a rate of 75.0%. Miami wrapped up the contest with a 35.7% FG percentage (35 out of 98) and made 12 out of their 37 3-pointers.

Norman Powell is a player who came through for this game. Powell finished the contest at 52.9% from the floor and also recorded 4 assists. He was on the court for 31 mins and snagged 3 boards. He walked away with 21 points on 9 out of 17 shooting.

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Miami enters this matchup with a mark of 20-17 on the season. They cough up possession 14.4 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 18.9 fouls every game. As a team, Miami is grabbing 45.6 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 1,062 dimes for the year, which is 8th in the league in terms of passing. The Heat are shooting 37.0% on three-point shots (487 of 1,315) and 79.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 120.1 pts per game (3rd in the NBA) on 46.9% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Heat are forcing 16.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.3 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 20th in the NBA in giving up assists with 1,004 surrendered this season. The Heat defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 45.9% (1,586 of 3,457) and they concede 47.2 boards per contest as a squad. They are giving up 34.4% on 3-point attempts and they are 21st in basketball in opponents points per game (117.4).

When they last played, the Pacers went home defeated by a final of 120-116 against the Cavaliers. The Pacers pulled down 25 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 32 in this contest. They coughed it up 14 times, while getting 10 steals for the contest. The Cavaliers committed 23 fouls in this matchup which got the Pacers to the free throw line for a total of 19 tries. They were able to make 14 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 73.7%. Pertaining to shots from beyond the perimeter, Indiana converted 16 of 35 tries (45.7%). At the conclusion of this game, the Pacers went 43 for 93 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.2%. The Pacers allowed the Cavaliers to knock down 49 out of 88 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 55.7% for this contest. They finished the game shooting 38.5% from distance via 10 of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 18 from the charity stripe (66.7%). Regarding cleaning up the glass, Indiana allowed Cleveland to get 48 overall (10 on the offensive glass).

Pascal Siakam ended up being important for the Pacers for the game. Siakam recorded 22 points in his 35 minutes on the court and added 3 dimes for this game. He knocked down 9 out of 23 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 39.1%, and tallied 4 rebounds.

Indiana has a win-loss mark of 6-31 so far this year. The Pacers are responsible for committing 22.9 fouls per contest and they shoot 77.2% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 24.5 times per game (28th in the league) and they turn the ball over 14.0 times per contest. Indiana has accumulated 4,098 points on the year (110.8 per game) and they pull down 42.5 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Pacers are hitting on 44.1% from the field, which is ranked 30th in basketball.

The Indiana defense gives up 34.2% on 3-point shots (428 of 1,251) and opponents are converting on 76.5% of their foul shots. They concede 25.3 assists and 47.5 boards every game, which has them ranked 8th and 28th in the league. The Pacers on defense are ranked 25th in basketball in points given up per game with 119.7. They are forcing their opponents into 14.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.6% from the field (27th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Indiana

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