Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 3/29/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Gainbridge Fieldhouse is the location where the Indiana Pacers (16-57) will play the Miami Heat (39-34) on Sunday.

The Heat faced off with the Cavaliers and earned the victory with a final of 120-103 in their last contest. Miami walked away from the contest with a 51.9% FG percentage (42 of 81) and made 18 out of their 45 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Heat made 18 of 22 shots for a rate of 81.8%. When discussing rebounding, they compiled 33 with 3 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 26 assists for this contest as well as forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and having 8 steals. When discussing defending, Miami allowed 43.2% from the floor on 35 of 81 shooting. Cleveland totaled 36 dimes and had 7 steals in this game. Furthermore, Cleveland had 59 rebounds (13 offensive, 46 defensive) and earned 3 blocked shots. Cleveland ended up going 87.5% from the free throw line by burying 21 of their 24 tries. They also buried 12 out of their 37 attempts from 3-point range. With respect to personal fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 18 and the Cavaliers accounted for 17 personal fouls.

Norman Powell is one player who was a factor in this contest. He ended up scoring 19 points on 7 of 12 shooting. He was on the court for 34 minutes played and pulled down 4 rebounds. Powell finished the game at 58.3% from the floor and also earned 2 dimes.

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Miami comes into this game with a win-loss record of 39-34 for the campaign. They average 120.2 pts per contest (2nd in the NBA) while connecting on 46.5% from the field. The Heat are shooting 35.8% on 3-pointers (982 of 2,745) and 79.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Miami is collecting 46.6 rebounds per contest and has tallied 2,095 dimes so far this season, which is 5th in the NBA in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.8 times per game and as a squad are committing 19.0 fouls per game.

On defense, the Heat are able to force 15.5 turnovers every game and they draw 20.5 fouls. They are conceding 35.1% on shots from downtown and they are 22nd in basketball in PPG allowed (117.3). The Heat defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.0% (3,116 of 6,772) and they concede 46.8 boards per game as a squad. They are currently ranked 18th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,977 surrendered so far this year.

The last time they took the court, the Pacers walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 137-130 against the Lakers. Concerning team rebounding, Indiana permitted Los Angeles to get 49 in total (16 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 39.1% from 3-point land by shooting 9 of 23 and ended up shooting 28 of 34 at the free throw line (82.4%). The Pacers permitted the Lakers to bury 50 of their 89 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 56.2% for this game. Overall, the Pacers finished the game shooting 48 for 86 from the floor which had them shooting 55.8%. When talking about shooting from distance, Indiana knocked down 16 of 39 tries (41.0%). They were able to knock down 18 of the free throw tries for a clip of 78.3%. The Lakers committed 23 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Pacers to the charity stripe for a total of 23 attempts. They also turned the ball over 21 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. The Pacers were able to collect 37 defensive boards and 17 offensive boards totaling 54 for this contest.

Pascal Siakam was important for the Pacers for this contest. He buried 7 out of 15 for the game giving him a rate of 46.7%, and earned 8 rebounds. Siakam tallied 20 points in his 30 mins of playing time and had 1 assist in this contest.

Indiana has a mark of 16-57 so far this season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Pacers are connecting on 45.5% from the field, which is ranked 27th in basketball. Indiana has 8,168 points this season (111.9 per game) and they grab 41.6 boards per game. They are getting an assist 27.0 times per game (13th in basketball) and they are turning it over 14.4 times per game. The Pacers commit 21.2 fouls per contest while shooting 77.3% from the charity stripe.

The Indiana defense surrenders 35.5% on shots from 3-point land (869 of 2,447) and their opponents are connecting on 77.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 26.6 dimes and 46.7 boards per game, which ranks them 13th and 28th in the league. The Pacers on defense are ranked 26th in the league in points allowed per contest with 120.7. They are forcing their opponents into 13.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 49.2% from the floor (28th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Indiana

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