Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 2/24/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Fiserv Forum is where the Milwaukee Bucks (24-31) will play the Miami Heat (31-27) on Tuesday.

The Heat faced the Grizzlies and took home the win by a score of 136-120 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Heat ended up with 21 and the Grizzlies recorded 22 personal fouls. They also converted 15 out of their 44 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Memphis finished the contest at 68.2% at the free throw line by making 15 of their 22 attempts. Additionally, Memphis snagged 35 rebounds (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 5 blocks. Memphis recorded 31 assists and had 14 steals for the matchup. In the matter of defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 47.4% from the floor on 45 of 95 shooting. They also recorded 36 dimes in this game as well as forcing 13 turnovers and getting 8 steals. Concerning getting rebounds, they collected 57 with 17 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat knocked down 25 of their 33 shots for a percentage of 75.8%. Miami finished the game with a 51.6% field goal percentage (49 of 95) and converted 13 of 36 three-point shots.

Andrew Wiggins is someone who was a major contributor in this matchup. He ended up walking away with 28 points on 9 of 10 shooting. He saw the court for 29 minutes played and also snagged 7 boards. Wiggins finished 90.0% from the field and earned 3 dimes.

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Miami steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 31-27 on the year. They turn it over 14.1 times per game and as a group are committing 19.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is snagging 47.2 boards per game and is sitting with 1,667 dimes for the campaign, which is 5th in basketball in terms of passing. The Heat are hitting 36.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (778 of 2,158) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 120.0 pts per contest (2nd in basketball) on 46.3% from the field.

Defensively, the Heat are able to force 15.6 turnovers every game and they draw 20.1 fouls. They concede 34.8% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 20th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (116.9). The Heat are allowing a FG percentage of 45.7% (2,474 of 5,413) and they relinquish 47.2 boards per game as a basketball team. They are 24th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,572 surrendered on the year.

When they last played, the Bucks took a loss by a final score of 122-94 when they played the Raptors. The Bucks were able to snag 33 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in this contest. They coughed it up 19 times, while recording 4 steals in this matchup. The Raptors committed 19 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Bucks to the charity stripe for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to bury 15 of them for a rate of 78.9%. In relation to shooting from 3-point land, Milwaukee buried 9 of their 32 tries (28.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Bucks ended up going 35 for 85 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.2%. The Bucks permitted the Raptors to bury 44 out of 94 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.8% for the game. They shot 34.8% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 16 out of 46 and ended up going 18 out of 23 at the free throw line (78.3%). When it comes to cleaning the glass, Milwaukee permitted Toronto to collect 45 in all (14 offensive).

Kevin Porter Jr. was important for the Bucks for this contest. He made 8 of 11 for the contest for a rate of 72.7%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. Porter totaled 21 points in his 31 mins of playing time and added 10 dimes in this contest.

Milwaukee has a mark of 24-31 for the campaign. The Bucks commit 19.9 personal fouls per contest while shooting 73.8% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 26.0 times per contest (17th in the league) and they are giving up possession 14.6 times per contest. Milwaukee has 6,158 pts on the year (112.0 per contest) and they snag 41.2 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Bucks are shooting 48.2% from the field, which ranks 5th in basketball.

The Bucks are ranked 15th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 115.4. They have forced 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 46.5% from the field (11th in the league). The Milwaukee defense allows 36.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (783 of 2,143) and their opposition makes 78.0% of their free throw shots. They allow 27.1 assists and 44.5 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 18th and 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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