Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 1/6/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: NBC

The Miami Heat (20-16) are on their way to Target Center on Tuesday where they will play the Minnesota Timberwolves (23-13).

The Heat faced off with the Pelicans and notched a win by a score of 125-106 in their last contest. In the matter of fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 14 while the Pelicans totaled 14 fouls. They buried 16 out of their 40 shots from distance. New Orleans finished shooting 75.0% from the charity stripe by making 6 of 8 shots. In addition, New Orleans pulled down 42 boards (6 offensive, 36 defensive) and added 7 rejections. New Orleans distributed 28 dimes and had 9 steals for this contest. In regard to defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 46.7% from the floor on 42 of 90 shooting. They also doled out 30 dimes in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 26 turnovers and getting 19 steals. With respect to pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 43 with 12 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Heat knocked down 13 of 18 attempts for a rate of 72.2%. Miami wrapped up the contest having earned a 46.5% FG percentage (47 out of 101) and converted 18 of their 44 three-point attempts.

Norman Powell is one guy who was important for the matchup. He totaled 34 points on 11 of 15 shooting. He played 29 minutes and totaled 3 rebounds. Powell finished the contest at 73.3% from the field and totaled 3 dimes.

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Miami will play this game with a mark of 20-16 this season. They turn the ball over 14.3 times per game and as a team are committing 18.9 fouls per contest. As a team, Miami is grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game and has totaled 1,034 assists for the season, which has them ranked 3rd in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are hitting 37.2% on three-point attempts (475 of 1,278) and 79.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 120.8 pts per game (3rd in the league) while shooting 47.3% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Heat are able to force 16.3 turnovers every game and they draw 20.2 personal fouls. They are giving up 34.4% on shots from distance and they rank 19th in the NBA in PPG allowed (117.3). The Heat defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 45.9% (1,541 of 3,359) and they concede 46.8 boards per contest as a squad. They are currently ranked 23rd in basketball in giving up assists with 977 surrendered on the year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Timberwolves got the win with a final of 141-115 when they faced the Wizards. When it comes to rebounding, Minnesota allowed Washington to pull down 35 in all (9 offensive). They finished 33.3% from 3-point land by going 12 of 36 and ended up going 17 out of 19 from the free throw line (89.5%). The Timberwolves allowed the Wizards to knock down 43 out of their 88 tries from the floor which had them at 48.9% in this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Timberwolves finished 55 out of 98 from the floor which had them shooting 56.1%. With respect to shooting from downtown, Minnesota made 11 of 37 tries (29.7%). They were able to make 20 of the free throws for a rate of 74.1%. The Wizards were called for 20 personal fouls for this contest which took the Timberwolves to the charity stripe for a total of 27 tries. They coughed up the ball 14 times, while recording 14 steals for this game. The Timberwolves snagged 34 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive boards for a total of 51 for the game.

Anthony Edwards ended up being a factor for the Timberwolves in this contest. He converted 14 of 21 in this game giving him a rate of 66.7%, and added 6 rebounds. Edwards totaled 35 points in his 30 minutes on the court and earned 3 assists for this game.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 23-13 for the season. The Timberwolves are committing 21.6 personal fouls every game and they hit 76.2% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 26.6 times per game (12th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 14.3 times per contest. Minnesota has scored 4,304 pts this year (119.6 per contest) and they collect 44.3 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Timberwolves are shooting 48.1% from the field, which is ranked 7th in the NBA.

The Timberwolves on the defensive side of the court are 11th in the league in PPG surrendered with 114.6. They have forced 15.1 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (5th in basketball). The Minnesota defense allows 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc (443 of 1,262) and their opponents are connecting on 78.9% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 25.3 dimes and 43.5 total rebounds per game, ranking them 9th and 12th in basketball.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Minnesota and under the total points

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