Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 2/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA

TV: Gulf Coast Sports

The Miami Heat (28-27) are on their way to Smoothie King Center on Wednesday where they will take on the New Orleans Pelicans (15-40).

The Heat took the court against the Wizards and went home with a win by a final score of 132-101 in their last contest. Miami ended with a 47.1% field goal percentage (49 of 104) and made 21 out of their 47 shots from beyond the arc. From the charity stripe, the Heat made 13 of their 15 attempts for a rate of 86.7%. In terms of getting rebounds, they collected 60 with 21 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 34 assists in this matchup while forcing the other team into 19 turnovers and having 18 steals. When talking about defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 41.9% from the floor on 39 out of 93 shooting. Washington recorded 23 assists and had 7 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Washington snagged 42 rebounds (10 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Washington walked away from this one shooting 68.8% when shooting free throws by making 11 of their 16 attempts. They also made 12 of their 36 attempts from beyond the arc. When it comes to personal fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 19 while the Wizards had 12 personal fouls.

Bam Adebayo is someone who was a major contributor for the contest. He accounted for 22 points on 9 out of 15 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 28 minutes played and also totaled 8 rebounds. Adebayo ended up going 60.0% from the floor and also earned 3 dimes.

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Miami will take the court with a win-loss mark of 28-27 this year. They turn it over 14.3 times per contest and as a team they commit 19.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is collecting 46.7 rebounds per contest and has tallied 1,575 dimes this year, which is 5th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are hitting 36.2% on shots from downtown (738 of 2,040) and 78.7% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 119.5 points per game (4th in the league) while going 46.2% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Heat are able to force 15.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.1 fouls. They are relinquishing 34.7% on shots from distance while they are 21st in basketball in PPG allowed (117.3). The Heat defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 45.8% (2,351 of 5,131) and they relinquish 47.4 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 24th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,488 relinquished on the season.

For their last game, the Pelicans walked away with a victory by a final of 119-115 against the Timberwolves. The Pelicans snagged 33 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 in the game. They also turned it over 16 times, while earning 5 steals for the game. The Timberwolves were called for 18 fouls for this contest which got the Pelicans to the charity stripe for a total of 22 shots. They were able to make 18 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 81.8%. When it comes to 3-point attempts, New Orleans made 15 out of their 34 tries (44.1%). Overall, the Pelicans ended up going 43 out of 80 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.8%. The Pelicans permitted the Timberwolves to convert 40 out of 95 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 42.1% in this matchup. They went 32.5% from three-point range by going 13 of 40 and ended up going 22 of 26 from the free throw line (84.6%). When it comes to team rebounding, New Orleans permitted Minnesota to get 47 in all (20 on the offensive side).

Saddiq Bey was important for the Pelicans for this game. He made 10 of 21 for the matchup for a rate of 47.6%, and had 9 rebounds. Bey recorded 30 points in his 34 mins of playing time and accounted for 5 dimes in the matchup.

New Orleans has a mark of 15-40 on the year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Pelicans are connecting on 46.2% from the floor, which ranks them 21st in basketball. New Orleans has accumulated 6,306 pts for the season (114.7 per contest) and they collect 43.5 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 25.0 times per contest (23rd in basketball) and they turn it over 14.1 times per game. The Pelicans commit 19.8 fouls per game and they shoot 78.4% from the free throw line.

The Pelicans on the defensive side of the court are 26th in the NBA in points given up per game with 120.4. They have forced 14.9 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 48.0% from the field (24th in the league). The New Orleans defense concedes 35.5% on shots from 3-point land (803 of 2,261) and opponents are converting on 78.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 28.3 assists and 45.9 total boards per game, which is ranked 27th and 25th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New Orleans

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