Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, 2/26/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) will try to beat the Miami Heat (31-28) at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Thursday.

The Heat faced the Bucks and went home with a loss by a final score of 128-117 in their last game. Miami finished the contest with a 42.6% field goal percentage (40 of 94) and buried 16 of their 48 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Heat buried 21 of 27 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they compiled 51 with 14 of them being offensive. They also recorded 32 assists in this matchup while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 8 steals. With respect to defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 49.5% from the floor on 48 of 97 shooting. Milwaukee distributed 25 assists and had 10 steals for this contest. Furthermore, Milwaukee collected 46 boards (10 offensive, 36 defensive) and earned 5 rejections. Milwaukee went 84.2% from the charity stripe by converting 16 of 19 attempts. They converted 16 of 39 attempts from downtown. In relation to fouls, the Heat walked away with 18 and the Bucks totaled 20 fouls.

Norman Powell is a player who was a major contributor in the game. He walked away with 26 points on 6 of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 30 minutes and also pulled down 6 boards. Powell walked away from this one shooting 42.9% from the floor but finished the game without a dime.

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Miami heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 31-28 on the season. They average 120.0 pts per contest (2nd in the NBA) while connecting on 46.3% from the floor. The Heat are shooting 36.0% from downtown (794 of 2,206) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is collecting 47.3 rebounds per contest and has tallied 1,699 assists so far this season, which is 4th in the league in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 14.2 times per contest and as a team they commit 19.0 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Heat have forced 15.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.1 personal fouls. They are 24th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,597 conceded for the season. The Heat defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.8% (2,522 of 5,510) and they surrender 47.2 boards per game as a squad. They are giving up 35.0% on three-point shots while they are 20th in basketball in PPG allowed (117.1).

In their last game, the 76ers went home victorious with a score of 135-114 against the Pacers. With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Philadelphia allowed Indiana to pull down 41 in total (12 on the offensive side). They finished 30.2% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 13 of 43 and ended up shooting 19 of 22 at the free throw line (86.4%). The 76ers allowed the Pacers to convert 41 out of their 95 tries from the field which had them shooting 43.2% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the 76ers shot 53 for 92 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 57.6%. With respect to shots from beyond the perimeter, Philadelphia buried 8 of their 29 tries (27.6%). They were able to convert 21 of those for a percentage of 84.0%. The Pacers were called for 19 fouls for the matchup which took the 76ers to the charity stripe for 25 attempts. They gave up possession 13 times, while earning 14 steals in this contest. The 76ers pulled down 38 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 44 for this contest.

Tyrese Maxey ended up being a major contributor for the 76ers in this game. Maxey tallied 32 points in his 34 minutes on the court and had 8 assists in this game. He made 10 of 22 in this game for a field goal rate of 45.5%, and totaled 9 rebounds.

Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 32-26 so far this season. The 76ers are committing 20.5 fouls every game and they go 81.4% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 24.7 times per game (27th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.8 times per game. Philadelphia has accounted for 6,761 pts this season (116.6 per game) and they collect 43.4 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the 76ers are connecting on 46.0% from the field, which is 23rd in the NBA.

The Philadelphia defense concedes 35.5% from downtown (754 of 2,125) and opponents are converting on 78.0% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 27.5 dimes and 44.8 total boards per game, which is 25th and 19th in the league. The 76ers on the defensive side of the court are 17th in the NBA in points given up per game with 115.9. They are able to force 15.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.0% from the field (16th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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