Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 1/25/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: AZ Family Sports Network

Mortgage Matchup Center is the location where the Phoenix Suns (27-17) will attempt to defeat the Miami Heat (23-22) on Sunday.

The Heat played the Trail Blazers and took a loss by a final of 127-110 in their last game. Miami wrapped up the contest having earned a 45.7% field goal percentage (43 of 94) and knocked down 9 out of their 45 three-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Heat made 15 of 19 shots for a rate of 78.9%. When it comes to hauling in rebounds, they collected a total of 40 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 24 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 20 turnovers and getting 14 steals. Concerning defending, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 48 of 96 shooting. Portland dished out 23 dimes and had 8 steals for this game. Moreover, Portland had 50 rebounds (14 offensive, 36 defensive) and got 8 blocked shots. Portland finished the contest at 84.6% at the charity stripe by burying 11 of 13 tries. They also made 20 of their 50 shots from beyond the arc. In regard to personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 17 while the Trail Blazers accounted for 17 personal fouls.

Bam Adebayo is someone who was a contributor for this contest. Adebayo finished the contest at 54.2% from the floor and also totaled 2 assists. He played for 37 minutes played and collected 10 boards. He notched 32 points on 13 out of 24 shooting.

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Miami enters this one with a record of 23-22 so far this year. They are averaging 119.3 points per game (4th in basketball) while shooting 46.5% from the field. The Heat are hitting 36.5% from downtown (599 of 1,639) and 78.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Miami is pulling down 45.5 boards per game and has accounted for 1,287 assists on the year, which has them ranked 6th in the NBA in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 14.3 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 18.8 personal fouls per game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Heat are forcing 16.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.2 personal fouls. They surrender 35.1% on shots from distance while they are 24th in the NBA in PPG allowed (118.4). The Heat defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 46.4% (1,945 of 4,196) and they relinquish 47.5 boards per game as a basketball team. They rank 22nd in basketball in allowing assists with 1,222 relinquished this year.

In their last game, the Suns walked away with a victory by a final of 116-110 when they faced the 76ers. In reference to how they rebounded, Phoenix allowed Philadelphia to grab 49 in all (18 offensive). They finished 32.4% from distance by shooting 11 out of 34 and ended up going 21 of 27 at the charity stripe (77.8%). The Suns permitted the 76ers to knock down 39 out of 93 tries from the field which had them shooting 41.9% in this matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Suns ended up going 40 out of 92 from the floor which had them sitting at 43.5%. With regard to 3-point shots, Phoenix knocked down 16 out of their 39 tries (41.0%). They were able to bury 20 of the free throw tries for a rate of 100.0%. The 76ers had 15 fouls for this contest which took the Suns to the free throw line for 20 attempts. They turned it over 16 times, while recording 6 steals in this game. The Suns corralled 27 defensive boards and 15 offensive rebounds for a total of 42 in this contest.

Devin Booker ended up being important for the Suns in this contest. He knocked down 9 of 23 for the contest for a field goal rate of 39.1%, and had 3 rebounds. Booker earned 27 points in his 34 mins on the court and tallied 4 assists in the matchup.

Phoenix has a win-loss mark of 27-17 for the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Suns are shooting 46.2% from the field, which ranks them 23rd in basketball. Phoenix has 5,046 pts on the campaign (114.7 per game) and they pull in 43.2 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 25.3 times per game (20th in the NBA) and they cough up possession 15.4 times per game. The Suns are committing 21.7 personal fouls per game and they hit 80.0% from the free throw line.

The Phoenix defense gives up 34.7% on shots from beyond the arc (540 of 1,555) and their opponents are knocking down 78.8% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 24.6 assists and 43.3 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 5th and 11th in the league. The Suns on the defensive side of the court are 5th in the league in points per game surrendered with 111.8. They have forced 16.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.7% from the field (14th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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