Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, 1/22/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers

Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: Rip City Television Network

The Portland Trail Blazers (22-22) will play the Miami Heat (23-21) at Moda Center on Thursday.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Kings and went home with a win by a final score of 130-117 in their last game. In reference to fouls, the Heat ended up with 13 and the Kings totaled 20 fouls. They also converted 11 of 30 attempts from distance. Sacramento shot 85.7% when shooting free throws by burying 18 of 21 shots. In addition, Sacramento grabbed 49 boards (8 offensive, 41 defensive) and earned 2 blocked shots. Sacramento doled out 27 assists and had 6 steals in the matchup. In relation to the defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 50.6% from the floor on 44 of 87 shooting. They also dished out 33 assists in this game in addition to creating 16 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they collected 46 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat buried 15 of 24 attempts for a percentage of 62.5%. Miami wrapped up the game with a 48.0% FG percentage (47 of 98) and buried 21 of 42 shots from distance.

Bam Adebayo is a player who was a factor for this contest. He ended up scoring 25 points on 8 out of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 30 minutes and also pulled down 7 rebounds. Adebayo finished shooting 53.3% from the floor and also earned 5 assists.

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Miami comes into this matchup with a record of 23-21 this year. They turn it over 14.3 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is snagging 45.7 boards per game and has earned 1,260 assists this year, which is 6th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are shooting 37.0% on shots from beyond the arc (590 of 1,594) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. They average 119.5 points per outing (5th in the NBA) while connecting on 46.5% from the field.

On defense, the Heat are able to force 15.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 23rd in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,196 relinquished for the season. The Heat defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.3% (1,897 of 4,100) and they concede 47.5 boards per game as a team. They are relinquishing 34.9% from 3-point land and they are ranked 23rd in the league in PPG allowed (118.3).

For their last game, the Trail Blazers got the win with a final of 117-110 when they faced the Kings. In reference to attacking the glass, Portland allowed Sacramento to pull down 52 overall (16 on the offensive side). They went 35.5% from 3-point land by shooting 11 out of 31 and finished the contest at 15 of 18 from the charity stripe (83.3%). The Trail Blazers allowed the Kings to make 42 out of their 86 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.8% in this game. When the final whistle blew, the Trail Blazers shot 40 out of 83 from the field which had them shooting 48.2%. With regard to shooting from downtown, Portland converted 8 of their 32 attempts (25.0%). They were able to bury 29 of them for a percentage of 87.9%. The Kings had 19 fouls in the matchup which took the Trail Blazers to the free throw line for 33 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while getting 7 steals for the matchup. The Trail Blazers pulled down 21 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 29 for this contest.

Deni Avdija ended up being a major contributor for the Trail Blazers for the contest. He knocked down 10 out of 18 in the matchup giving him a rate of 55.6%, and had 8 rebounds. Avdija recorded 30 points in his 32 mins on the hardwood and totaled 8 assists for this contest.

Portland has a win-loss record of 22-22 this year. As an offense, the Trail Blazers are shooting 45.0% from the floor, which is ranked 28th in the NBA. Portland has tallied 5,115 pts on the campaign (116.3 per contest) and they snag 45.2 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 24.4 times per game (27th in the league) and they turn the ball over 16.8 times per game. The Trail Blazers are committing 21.0 fouls per contest and they hit 77.9% from the charity stripe.

The Trail Blazers defensively are ranked 22nd in basketball in PPG surrendered with 118.2. They are forcing their opponents into 15.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 47.2% from the field (19th in basketball). The Portland defense surrenders 35.3% on 3-pointers (556 of 1,576) and their opponents are knocking down 80.3% of their free throw shots. They give up 26.8 dimes and 43.6 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 16th and 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Portland

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