Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 4/9/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN

Scotiabank Arena is the location where the Toronto Raptors (43-35) will take on the Miami Heat (41-37) on Thursday.

The Heat took the court against the Wizards and went home with a win by a final score of 152-136 in their last contest. Concerning fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 17 while the Wizards finished the game with 25 fouls. They also knocked down 17 out of their 40 shots from beyond the arc. Washington finished the game shooting 79.2% from the free throw line by knocking down 19 of their 24 tries. Furthermore, Washington collected 44 boards (17 offensive, 27 defensive) and earned 11 blocks. Washington doled out 28 dimes and had 12 steals for the game. With respect to the defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 47.2% from the field on 50 of 106 shooting. They also distributed 42 assists for the contest as well as creating 9 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In the matter of hauling in boards, they earned a total of 49 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Heat made 27 of their 34 attempts for a rate of 79.4%. Miami ended with a 58.1% FG percentage (54 of 93) and knocked down 17 of 39 shots from beyond the arc.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is a guy who was a major factor in the game. Jacquez finished the game at 66.7% from the floor and also recorded 4 assists. He was on the court for 32 minutes and grabbed 3 rebounds. He totaled 32 points on 12 of 18 shooting.

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Miami comes into this matchup with a record of 41-37 on the campaign. They are averaging 120.8 pts per game (2nd in basketball) while hitting 46.6% from the field. The Heat are connecting on 36.0% on 3-point shots (1,062 of 2,954) and 79.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is collecting 46.6 rebounds per contest and has racked up 2,242 dimes for the year, which has them ranked 7th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 13.6 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.9 personal fouls per contest.

On defense, the Heat are forcing 15.2 turnovers every game while drawing 20.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 19th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,139 surrendered so far this season. The Heat defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 46.4% (3,367 of 7,259) and they surrender 46.6 boards per game as a squad. They give up 35.6% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 22nd in basketball in points per game allowed (118.4).

In their last game, the Raptors took a defeat with a final score of 115-101 when they faced the Celtics. The Raptors corralled 25 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 31 in the game. They also coughed it up 15 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. The Celtics had 19 personal fouls for this game which got the Raptors to the free throw line for a total of 18 shots. They were able to knock down 13 of the free throws for a percentage of 72.2%. In regard to shots from 3-point land, Toronto made 8 of their 20 attempts (40.0%). Overall, the Raptors finished the game shooting 40 out of 84 from the field which had them shooting 47.6%. The Raptors allowed the Celtics to convert 47 of their 88 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 53.4% for this contest. They finished 28.6% from 3-point land by hitting 8 out of 28 and ended up shooting 13 of 16 from the free throw line (81.3%). In reference to team rebounding, Toronto allowed Boston to grab 44 overall (12 on the offensive glass).

Ja'Kobe Walter ended up having an impact for the Raptors for the matchup. Walter recorded 16 points in his 32 mins on the hardwood and totaled 1 assist in this contest. He made 6 of 9 in the game for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and added 2 rebounds.

Toronto has a win-loss record of 43-35 for the year. As an offensive team, the Raptors are connecting on 48.0% from the field, which has them ranked 8th in basketball. Toronto has accumulated 8,920 points so far this year (114.4 per game) and they grab 42.1 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 29.5 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they cough up possession 13.8 times per contest. The Raptors commit 20.9 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 77.1% from the free throw line.

The Raptors on the defensive end are ranked 9th in the NBA in points allowed per game with 112.1. They are forcing 16.2 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.7% from the field (11th in the league). The Toronto defense gives up 35.2% on shots from beyond the arc (986 of 2,801) and their opponents are connecting on 79.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 24.4 assists and 43.1 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 2nd and 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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